MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe27402c15bc3b965140f8ba93db1a79f33ed339cbab7fd56e6e88017f534bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Phillies, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Marlins | 37c | 26,887$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,880.56 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Marlins | 38c | 15,866$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,827.04 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 63c | 12,453$7,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,843.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 37c | 7,572$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.39 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 62c | 4,126$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.03 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 37c | 3,973$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 62c | 3,765$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.3 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 29c | 3,579$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.57 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 63c | 3,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.99 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Phillies | 39c | 2,916$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 71c | 2,881$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.14 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 62c | 2,823$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.6 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,761$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 62c | 2,457$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.34 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 63c | 2,404$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.82 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 63c | 2,353$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.67 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 2c | 2,255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Phillies | 57c | 2,173$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.39 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 27c | 2,101$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 62c | 2,055$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Phillies | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Phillies | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,894$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 33c | 1,882$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.74 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.87 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Marlins | 39c | 1,587$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Phillies | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Phillies | 34c | 1,544$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 62c | 1,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Phillies | 68c | 1,480$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 59c | 1,347$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,233$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 13c | 1,210$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 41c | 1,142$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…2420backed Phillies | 1c | 1,135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Phillies | 20c | 1,074$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Phillies | 1c | 1,067$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Phillies | 1c | 1,042$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 63c | 991.1$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.27 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 58c | 926.41$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.48 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 62c | 904.45$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.76 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 62c | 903.11$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.21 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 29c | 859.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 62c | 817$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.54 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…8399backed Phillies | 67c | 799.64$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 69c | 740.04$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Phillies | 63c | 700$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 45c | 669$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.72 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 45c | 626.12$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.2 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Phillies | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 64c | 531.25$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Phillies | 58c | 515.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 39c | 512.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Phillies | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Phillies | 18c | 450$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 6c | 442.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Marlins | 38c | 378.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.72 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 27c | 376.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Phillies | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Phillies | 36c | 326.19$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Phillies | 64c | 321.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Marlins | 38c | 296.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Marlins | 35c | 293.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.76 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…3428backed Phillies | 4c | 269.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 63c | 268$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Phillies | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 51c | 235.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Phillies | 57c | 231.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 38c | 230.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Phillies | 16c | 226.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Phillies | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Phillies | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 47c | 188.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 63c | 181.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 29c | 177.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…08fabacked Phillies | 63c | 149.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Marlins | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Phillies | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 41c | 113$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies | 63c | 105.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.