NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7dcdd2b0d6e5d37a17a2dbab18807544d6b7b42f6b01c35794b9c755b4c2efc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $746,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Sabres | 31c | 300,703$93,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,639.92 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 69c | 178,341$123,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,617.93 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 68c | 145,759$99,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,739.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 32c | 106,846$34,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,737.66 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lightning | 69c | 65,789$45,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,517.02 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 69c | 50,405$34,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,779.44 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 30c | 32,007$9,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,493.67 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 69c | 30,000$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,699.81 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Sabres | 31c | 25,000$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 30c | 19,281$5,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,514.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 71c | 16,912$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Lightning | 70c | 13,956$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,827.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lightning | 0c | 13,462$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 31c | 10,840$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488.75 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 31c | 7,419$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.35 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 6c | 6,802$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.94 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Lightning | 70c | 6,071$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 32c | 4,994$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.92 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 66c | 4,626$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035.43 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres | 29c | 3,922$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Sabres | 30c | 3,900$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Lightning | 69c | 3,806$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.82 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 70c | 3,572$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 3c | 3,571$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Lightning | 13c | 3,519$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.47 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Lightning | 16c | 3,508$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.17 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Sabres | 32c | 3,080$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.55 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 71c | 2,771$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 69c | 2,580$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sabres | 29c | 2,548$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.59 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Lightning | 0c | 2,460$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres | 74c | 2,365$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.7 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sabres | 31c | 2,314$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.78 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 70c | 2,216$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.18 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Lightning | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lightning | 10c | 2,075$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sabres | 31c | 2,060$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sabres | 31c | 2,030$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.7 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 45c | 2,029$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.95 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 52c | 1,804$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.23 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lightning | 69c | 1,700$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Lightning | 70c | 1,650$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.61 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Lightning | 6c | 1,601$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Sabres | 35c | 1,571$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Sabres | 80c | 1,454$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Lightning | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…92e5backed Lightning | 69c | 1,375$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 68c | 1,161$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 32c | 1,129$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lightning | 69c | 1,087$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Sabres | 34c | 1,080$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Sabres | 34c | 1,052$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Sabres | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Lightning | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 32c | 990$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.2 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Lightning | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sabres | 30c | 826.05$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.24 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Sabres | 31c | 806.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sabres | 68c | 759.64$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Lightning | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…d0cfbacked Sabres | 34c | 644.12$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 68c | 643.24$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…3096backed Lightning | 70c | 641.2$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lightning | 62c | 627.22$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.13 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sabres | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…48d3backed Lightning | 2c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Sabres | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 30c | 599.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 31c | 586.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Sabres | 30c | 575.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…ed50backed Lightning | 70c | 557.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Lightning | 71c | 527.13$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Lightning | 9c | 520$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Lightning | 70c | 505$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sabres | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Sabres | 66c | 490$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…06c3backed Lightning | 70c | 481.16$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Sabres | 29c | 476.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ee…0991backed Lightning | 68c | 461.76$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Lightning | 70c | 450.02$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.02 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Sabres | 69c | 446$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Sabres | 60c | 431.54$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Lightning | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Lightning | 71c | 407.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.79 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 68c | 402$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Lightning | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Sabres | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Sabres | 31c | 388$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lightning | 67c | 371.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lightning | 70c | 367.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Sabres | 31c | 361$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Lightning | 70c | 358.31$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lightning | 69c | 351.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Lightningthis page
- Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.