NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86ca735bc0349d71b3ad8a4f6c5e3521564e3e81be26faa6936e809219341d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Colts, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $606,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Jets | 12c | 50,560$5,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,984.39 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Colts | 69c | 45,962$31,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,101.2 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jets | 35c | 34,135$12,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,105.51 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets | 59c | 21,190$12,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,480.68 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Colts | 48c | 18,325$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jets | 65c | 10,881$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.21 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…83d6backed Jets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…ed0bbacked Jets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Jets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a1e9backed Jets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…54f8backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e39abacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a48…ee2dbacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…8861backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…d370backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…b485backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…aed3backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…ac41backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…cb1cbacked Jets | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…2fe6backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c2…a248backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Colts | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…fc22backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Colts | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…9095backed Jets | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Colts | 37c | 4,823$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.77 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…785dbacked Colts | 37c | 4,501$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jets | 34c | 3,197$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.67 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Colts | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Jets | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…418abacked Colts | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…bbc3backed Jets | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked Colts | 37c | 2,730$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Jets | 22c | 2,647$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Colts | 41c | 2,075$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Colts | 56c | 2,015$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…9dd4backed Colts | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Jets | 23c | 1,748$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Jets | 25c | 1,608$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Jets | 64c | 1,567$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.01 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…9ac0backed Jets | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…aabfbacked Colts | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Jets | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Colts | 36c | 1,406$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.11 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Colts | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Jets | 24c | 1,181$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.09 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Colts | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Jets | 64c | 1,030$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colts | 18c | 1,017$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.43 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Colts | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Colts | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colts | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Colts | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Jets | 64c | 988.36$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.55 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Jets | 60c | 970$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed Colts | 51c | 851.35$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets | 51c | 784.19$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Jets | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Colts | 35c | 769.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Colts | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Colts | 15c | 666.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.66 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Colts | 35c | 619.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.34 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Jets | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…37e2backed Colts | 37c | 580.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets | 65c | 571$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 7c | 554$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Colts | 33c | 504.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.17 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Colts | 36c | 472.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Colts | 35c | 408.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.