Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abb01bf1b40437116748b2f30de85404349a9b92c14d21031990698915e99f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,041,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $959,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,041,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 4c | 64,414$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 17c | 62,008$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,639.83 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…278dbacked Yes | 16c | 31,241$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 31c | 30,487$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,494.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 76c | 29,981$22,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.29 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 10c | 28,800$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.83 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 10c | 28,542$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 5c | 23,305$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.26 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 17c | 22,837$3,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,983.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 10c | 18,011$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 9c | 15,140$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.63 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 66c | 14,778$9,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,688.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…84bcbacked Yes | 58c | 14,424$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 13c | 14,371$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.4 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Yes | 10c | 14,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 78c | 11,217$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 3c | 11,154$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 17c | 10,869$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.33 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 12c | 10,715$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.88 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…e5cfbacked Yes | 46c | 10,623$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 39c | 10,421$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.77 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 42c | 9,108$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 22c | 8,950$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 45c | 8,420$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed Yes | 8c | 7,412$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…9b44backed Yes | 6c | 6,831$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 6,178$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ca…8802backed Yes | 7c | 6,110$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked Yes | 10c | 5,824$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 5,706$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.68 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…e710backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 14c | 4,549$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.87 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…8e40backed Yes | 2c | 4,223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 54c | 4,208$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 20c | 4,189$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd993…844abacked Yes | 9c | 4,026$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 4,018$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9debbacked No | 58c | 3,743$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…7697backed No | 19c | 3,602$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.81 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 19c | 3,564$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.69 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 73c | 3,506$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…5fffbacked Yes | 7c | 3,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…c354backed Yes | 21c | 3,247$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes | 2c | 3,246$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…1444backed No | 67c | 3,239$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 47c | 3,190$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 25c | 3,009$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.74 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 17c | 3,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…bd0ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,850$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…ba7bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,737$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 34c | 2,728$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…3f96backed Yes | 74c | 2,690$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e3…71d5backed No | 72c | 2,684$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d6b3backed Yes | 36c | 2,603$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…1589backed Yes | 5c | 2,601$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,498$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed Yes | 12c | 2,424$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…64c5backed No | 42c | 2,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 14c | 2,234$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…3e8dbacked No | 19c | 2,225$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 16c | 2,220$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed Yes | 16c | 2,212$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…262dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,199$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b47…231fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,190$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 79c | 2,145$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…75c3backed No | 47c | 2,061$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…c932backed No | 32c | 2,047$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed No | 59c | 2,026$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 16c | 1,958$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…ee93backed No | 78c | 1,910$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…b263backed Yes | 8c | 1,900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed No | 46c | 1,862$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df4…3fdcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,792$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,750$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…dd34backed Yes | 6c | 1,596$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed No | 56c | 1,587$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 26c | 1,466$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.61 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 10c | 1,466$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 45c | 1,457$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…8c05backed Yes | 78c | 1,412$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 37c | 1,363$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,337$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 22c | 1,319$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664c…9ec8backed Yes | 73c | 1,274$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…6c95backed No | 78c | 1,261$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…5edfbacked No | 23c | 1,259$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…b67abacked Yes | 61c | 1,243$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 16c | 1,215$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…cc17backed Yes | 55c | 1,214$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…57f6backed Yes | 80c | 1,153$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1665…cf22backed Yes | 10c | 1,131$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 17c | 1,108$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…feefbacked Yes | 21c | 1,103$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.