Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51495a709e23a553486a2e1bf469967b166d69b5ee12b5878d8d987e7b291f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 76c | 9,304$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.33 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 19c | 5,637$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.07 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 18c | 5,240$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.11 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 17c | 3,469$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.29 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 18c | 3,150$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.88 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 19c | 3,114$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.34 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.93 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 20c | 2,444$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.04 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 20c | 1,625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 20c | 1,224$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.14 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 80c | 1,100$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 80c | 1,091$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 67c | 795$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.5 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 17c | 733.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.55 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 20c | 621.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.64 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 44c | 532.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 80c | 437.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 45c | 251$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 17c | 222$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…8cefbacked Yes | 75c | 210.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 30c | 209.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…bd85backed No | 20c | 206.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…1738backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.9wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +211.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…478dbacked Yes | 37c | 190.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 70c | 159.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…698fbacked Yes | 70c | 152.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…eb17backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…68c9backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 20c | 115$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f7d3backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4c…0168backed No | 20c | 96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…fafbbacked No | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…bd4dbacked No | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…9c66backed No | 20c | 73.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…895fbacked No | 20c | 73.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 77c | 68.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…5e36backed No | 20c | 61.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 20c | 54.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa934…4f93backed No | 20c | 54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…e0e3backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…18c1backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…b7c4backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…3476backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…58fbbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes | 78c | 38.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 76c | 24.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…15a7backed Yes | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299e…3a55backed Yes | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 80c | 22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2081…73b9backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…c420backed Yes | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…13b9backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool beat Nottingham Forest?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest beat Liverpool?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.