Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8084b77d5386b0c907a3e82567c737896ba0102af5de7ab7295aee6023409b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,117,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,117,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f2d…d0cfbacked Yes | 17c | 246,147$41,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,042.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 46c | 54,187$25,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,178.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 2c | 48,055$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.53 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 19c | 38,768$7,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351.66 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Yes | 12c | 32,431$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe470…b6e2backed Yes | 21c | 25,409$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 60c | 25,324$15,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,222.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked No | 65c | 24,563$16,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,505.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 55c | 17,373$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789.6 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 69c | 17,286$11,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 15c | 16,978$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.37 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac0…041fbacked Yes | 11c | 15,684$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 71c | 14,686$10,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.01 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed No | 77c | 13,541$10,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f8…b504backed No | 75c | 12,724$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 2c | 12,355$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…1444backed No | 59c | 12,195$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 22c | 12,160$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.39 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…2bf4backed No | 72c | 10,528$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 30c | 9,248$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.4 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 49c | 9,210$4,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,473.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…fd31backed No | 80c | 8,364$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 77c | 7,755$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.93 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 71c | 7,386$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…fce4backed Yes | 21c | 7,221$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…4979backed No | 72c | 6,764$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 40c | 6,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 70c | 5,930$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.83 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 21c | 5,866$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…a2d2backed No | 48c | 5,800$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacda…1d8bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,500$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 8c | 5,100$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.79 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked Yes | 41c | 5,089$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked Yes | 32c | 4,866$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 74c | 4,779$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,706$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.69 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…94b3backed No | 79c | 4,416$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…15d5backed Yes | 27c | 3,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 27c | 3,802$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 80c | 3,762$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 7c | 3,760$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…3e8cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,358$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.47 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 30c | 3,292$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Yes | 26c | 2,949$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 50c | 2,869$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.63 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…c823backed Yes | 2c | 2,833$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd993…844abacked Yes | 42c | 2,791$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,747$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…529bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,669$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,616$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed No | 77c | 2,600$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 68c | 2,500$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Yes | 29c | 2,498$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked No | 64c | 2,470$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…cdd3backed No | 44c | 2,445$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 50c | 2,442$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…fde1backed No | 61c | 2,300$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d6b3backed Yes | 48c | 2,286$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 80c | 2,255$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 2,218$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed No | 53c | 2,213$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9296…e89cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,207$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,102$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2bb4backed Yes | 4c | 2,062$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed No | 77c | 2,033$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…d936backed Yes | 19c | 2,025$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8540…e24fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,005$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…0b9cbacked No | 78c | 1,935$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…36d5backed Yes | 34c | 1,932$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dd…c3e4backed No | 72c | 1,915$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked No | 79c | 1,893$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…6141backed Yes | 3c | 1,845$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…5b41backed No | 42c | 1,602$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 35c | 1,550$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,526$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed Yes | 34c | 1,484$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…5fedbacked Yes | 4c | 1,469$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 80c | 1,411$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.83 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b5…edefbacked Yes | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 73c | 1,365$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 22c | 1,337$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…92b5backed Yes | 39c | 1,324$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 67c | 1,317$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.95 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…9d64backed Yes | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…d8c0backed Yes | 28c | 1,288$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed No | 61c | 1,234$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c6…3654backed Yes | 40c | 1,223$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…6aa2backed Yes | 17c | 1,213$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…20fdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,198$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3325…ade5backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 61c | 1,170$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…2254backed No | 43c | 1,155$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…2f5abacked Yes | 38c | 1,115$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.