Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc947287f518077ac999b48f21ccaa25f0635b82b998953ee6271276d992ea754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 34c | 22,909$7,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,789.17 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 1c | 21,034$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 12,143$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.5 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 5,782$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.99 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 5,439$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.73 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 4,250$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.61 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 34c | 4,222$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.09 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 35c | 4,181$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.92 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 4,164$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.65 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 3,777$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 66c | 3,606$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.06 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 3,152$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 3,051$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 66c | 2,900$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 37c | 2,065$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.48 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…6f58backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 1,901$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.08 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…0f2abacked Yes | 66c | 1,803$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 1,608$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.85 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 35c | 1,600$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…17bebacked Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 65c | 1,500$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 34c | 1,373$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.85 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 1,309$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 66c | 1,055$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.47 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 34c | 917.85$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.07 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 66c | 817$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 34c | 779.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 67c | 750.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 67c | 747.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…91b4backed Yes | 66c | 671.41$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 34c | 646.3$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 65c | 614.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…e75fbacked Yes | 68c | 599.99$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 74c | 559.11$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.31 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…17cabacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 69c | 424.74$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 417.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…eab6backed Yes | 71c | 413.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 21c | 402.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 34c | 399.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 72c | 380.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 375.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 362.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…e8e4backed Yes | 71c | 324.96$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…735ebacked Yes | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 34c | 300.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…49dabacked Yes | 66c | 300.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c75…a628backed Yes | 68c | 291.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a8…dcb4backed Yes | 69c | 290.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…d38cbacked Yes | 70c | 285.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…0402backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2207…ba56backed Yes | 74c | 275.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 67c | 273$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 266.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Yes | 66c | 257.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 66c | 253.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 66c | 249.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…c39fbacked Yes | 67c | 246.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 28c | 237.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 10c | 232.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes | 66c | 220.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…fd70backed Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 211.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 68c | 203$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…2f14backed Yes | 65c | 201.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 33c | 192.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 28c | 192$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 27c | 188.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 68c | 185.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…8dd3backed Yes | 72c | 174.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…884dbacked Yes | 73c | 168.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…2ff9backed Yes | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 25c | 162.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 153.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…03ecbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…b739backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed No | 34c | 150.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…8359backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Morocco?this page
- France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
- Morocco to score first vs. France?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.