Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton beat Ipswich Town?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428022cc51dd8798b1adca13b855b15ee4097c2bd6d27f75fd7949fa6f759cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 31c | 2,037$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.46 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 28c | 1,351$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.25 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 71c | 793.98$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.72 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 74c | 540.54$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 31c | 528.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.53 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 67c | 300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546f…dbfdbacked Yes | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 70c | 196.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 72c | 172.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Yes | 73c | 165.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 72c | 139.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 58c | 67.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 72c | 52.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…f7d3backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 64c | 47.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…8a63backed Yes | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…198abacked Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…a7a7backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…ff2fbacked Yes | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton beat Ipswich Town?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Ipswich Town end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ipswich Town beat Brighton?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.