Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdce9758a19396bf91e37ebb054d474c5d2712c1f7d1ae62f4f776434bdc4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $900,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 7c | 103,729$7,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,768.81 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 44c | 45,321$19,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,461.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Yes | 55c | 27,913$15,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,352.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 69c | 23,774$16,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,261.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5310…a500backed Yes | 38c | 20,408$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed Yes | 10c | 17,288$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 19c | 14,118$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.14 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 77c | 11,901$9,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.77 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…44a5backed Yes | 63c | 11,863$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,448.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 17c | 10,898$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.06 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 45c | 10,531$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.99 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 55c | 10,050$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…1d41backed Yes | 15c | 9,925$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed Yes | 20c | 9,751$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 12c | 8,738$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 68c | 8,099$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.49 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 48c | 7,378$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 64c | 7,281$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.07 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 43c | 7,268$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 9c | 7,170$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 63c | 6,991$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 68c | 6,945$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.38 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,981$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 50c | 5,350$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.07 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 63c | 4,963$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.92 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Yes | 15c | 4,428$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 52c | 4,354$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.52 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…fd08backed Yes | 47c | 4,315$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 18c | 3,901$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.41 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked Yes | 36c | 3,826$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 13c | 3,235$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.29 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 8c | 2,954$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.56 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 79c | 2,912$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.28 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…29cdbacked No | 74c | 2,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,519$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd874…a314backed No | 46c | 2,516$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 48c | 2,484$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.28 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…c76bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,414$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c8…c493backed No | 74c | 2,390$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed Yes | 6c | 2,386$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 17c | 2,371$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +352.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 2c | 2,350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 42c | 2,324$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.24 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 69c | 2,268$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…59bdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,182$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…0986backed Yes | 23c | 2,140$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 44c | 2,093$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.17 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +73%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 32c | 1,939$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed No | 35c | 1,936$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…53c9backed No | 66c | 1,923$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 23c | 1,772$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…765dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,769$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 1,747$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.48 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked Yes | 60c | 1,683$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b4afbacked Yes | 9c | 1,674$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 29c | 1,562$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.31 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…a723backed No | 39c | 1,538$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9adbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,530$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…8551backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca91…d2cabacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…cca4backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…b973backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…4d5bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…fa23backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…c1d9backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…674bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…8155backed Yes | 44c | 1,413$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…3b0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 43c | 1,380$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 64c | 1,364$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…64b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,351$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked Yes | 23c | 1,324$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed No | 64c | 1,234$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 15c | 1,198$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.56per pick | 10cpaid | +974.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed No | 34c | 1,195$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 43c | 1,163$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.64 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…1794backed Yes | 22c | 1,146$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 80c | 1,130$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed No | 53c | 1,127$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…550cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,121$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…1a6fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,104$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed No | 66c | 1,063$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 56c | 1,060$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 43c | 1,060$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…5333backed Yes | 39c | 1,033$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,017$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…d78dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,008$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa673…efc5backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…5283backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 39c | 969.19$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…50e9backed Yes | 23c | 950.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 21c | 920.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc885…8699backed Yes | 38c | 918.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 905.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 74c | 883.33$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed No | 51c | 870.61$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.