College Football · resolved market
Will UNLV beat Syracuse?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db07506bd3667b80d80b0dac600e6c3cf3cae15c00dc8981604c8733038a5e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuseof UNLV, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UNLV | 58c | 28,500$16,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,450 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Syracuse | 43c | 11,748$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,667.19 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Syracuse | 35c | 5,292$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.01 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Syracuse | 42c | 5,020$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Syracuse | 39c | 4,783$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Syracuse | 45c | 1,950$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Syracuse | 36c | 1,785$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.3 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed UNLV | 71c | 430$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Syracuse | 63c | 405$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked UNLV | 66c | 350$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Syracuse | 62c | 320.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked UNLV | 40c | 268.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Syracuse | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Syracuse | 33c | 203.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked UNLV | 61c | 200.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Syracuse | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Syracuse | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed UNLV | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Syracuse | 60c | 135.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed UNLV | 67c | 124.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked UNLV | 38c | 121.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Syracuse | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked UNLV | 62c | 105.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UNLV | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked UNLV | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…81c7backed UNLV | 54c | 68.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Syracuse | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed UNLV | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked UNLV | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed UNLV | 67c | 16.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UNLV beat Syracuse?this page
- Will UNLV beat Syracuse by 7 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.