Middle East · resolved market
Israeli forces enter Lebanon before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7582a1076d398c7b40798ea88ef911666844a11712af753cd7fcf783c86c755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 23c | 32,513$7,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,432.06 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked No | 3c | 26,055$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…3d0fbacked No | 10c | 15,709$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 11c | 15,500$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 13c | 11,563$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 8c | 11,555$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 0c | 10,158$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…e4a8backed No | 2c | 8,133$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 76c | 8,014$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.2 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a28…3ca9backed Yes | 75c | 5,552$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed No | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed No | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 75c | 3,687$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 78c | 2,996$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 78c | 2,750$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 60c | 2,322$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.27 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 1,745$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed Yes | 79c | 1,520$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed Yes | 68c | 1,460$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 25c | 1,448$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…3a2dbacked No | 5c | 1,370$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 28c | 1,134$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…83efbacked Yes | 75c | 1,112$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…4cb0backed No | 37c | 1,002$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 3c | 999.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…8cb7backed No | 23c | 953.32$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebc…78b7backed No | 9c | 846.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed No | 3c | 812.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed No | 3c | 806.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 80c | 791.35$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 25c | 709.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 4c | 696.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16a3…26e7backed No | 4c | 654.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 23c | 605$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 43c | 600$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…9483backed Yes | 75c | 600$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 23c | 572.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 5c | 531.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 20c | 500.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked No | 44c | 468.8$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 457.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 74c | 379.03$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 75c | 375.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 22c | 348.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…f8c4backed Yes | 58c | 344.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…0d34backed Yes | 77c | 320.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 22c | 310.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 9c | 296.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…0aa1backed No | 31c | 295.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 71c | 264.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 15c | 261.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ed…ce35backed No | 5c | 241.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed No | 23c | 240.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed No | 12c | 240$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…f16dbacked No | 20c | 229.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 29c | 216$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…610bbacked No | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 30c | 203.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…6099backed No | 22c | 202.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…0204backed Yes | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde02…02a1backed No | 27c | 178$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 41c | 166.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 77c | 160$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…43fcbacked Yes | 73c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…9ddebacked Yes | 78c | 128.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…b317backed No | 45c | 112.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bc…acd1backed No | 45c | 103.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…2829backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…ad7dbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…2404backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…e459backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…fe08backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf079…2ba6backed No | 23c | 99.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…eb35backed Yes | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…c20abacked No | 28c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 76c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 56c | 89.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…939bbacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed No | 25c | 69.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.