College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M beat LSU?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d303f2766b3de1a82b5bf1ee4d0807a0fde921dd9965cb6525928988a51e0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, LSU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Texas A&M | 49c | 18,921$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,619.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed LSU | 51c | 14,787$7,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed LSU | 50c | 4,471$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.41 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…e7a3backed LSU | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked LSU | 3c | 1,524$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked LSU | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Texas A&M | 48c | 799.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Texas A&M | 57c | 749.33$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed LSU | 72c | 400$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked LSU | 46c | 390.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 46c | 336.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Texas A&M | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked LSU | 48c | 278.36$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed LSU | 26c | 229.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Texas A&M | 54c | 212.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked LSU | 50c | 200.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed LSU | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed LSU | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed LSU | 6c | 189.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Texas A&M | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed LSU | 51c | 152.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas A&M | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Texas A&M | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed LSU | 50c | 148.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Texas A&M | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked LSU | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Texas A&M | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texas A&M | 49c | 62.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed LSU | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…1e19backed LSU | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…c0aebacked LSU | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3411…08a1backed LSU | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed LSU | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.