NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2a81980abbc8cd3d287ecc144cf2a362f0a882f0fb6e106879907d194f678f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Ravens, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Ravens | 57c | 84,820$48,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,452.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Bills | 43c | 50,000$21,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,499.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bills | 15c | 27,102$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.59 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ravens | 63c | 20,907$13,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,762.09 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Ravens | 56c | 16,306$9,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,132.66 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bills | 43c | 15,996$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,848.19 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bills | 42c | 14,966$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.87 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ravens | 79c | 13,780$10,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.94 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ravens | 78c | 9,710$7,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.49 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…3826backed Bills | 9c | 6,867$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bills | 44c | 6,820$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.79 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Ravens | 57c | 5,482$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.1 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bills | 17c | 5,262$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.53 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Bills | 46c | 4,458$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.34 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bills | 43c | 4,252$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.03 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Bills | 43c | 4,228$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.21 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13ab…7f03backed Ravens | 56c | 3,803$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Bills | 44c | 3,568$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Bills | 44c | 3,376$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.3 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Bills | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Ravens | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ravens | 56c | 2,974$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.14 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Bills | 10c | 2,604$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…12e7backed Bills | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Bills | 33c | 2,321$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bills | 16c | 2,297$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ravens | 64c | 2,201$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.54 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…7524backed Ravens | 58c | 2,200$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bills | 20c | 2,190$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.7 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…d3a7backed Bills | 44c | 2,116$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bills | 21c | 2,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.29 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bills | 43c | 2,001$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.41 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Ravens | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ravens | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Bills | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Bills | 25c | 1,943$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Ravens | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Ravens | 56c | 1,667$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.07 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…e186backed Ravens | 57c | 1,614$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Bills | 40c | 1,506$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ravens | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Ravens | 57c | 1,433$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bills | 44c | 1,369$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bills | 22c | 1,344$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 43c | 1,226$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Bills | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Bills | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb332…cea1backed Ravens | 58c | 1,194$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Bills | 8c | 1,184$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Bills | 14c | 1,121$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Bills | 23c | 1,090$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bills | 15c | 1,073$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Bills | 33c | 1,000$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Ravens | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bills | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bills | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bills | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Bills | 41c | 1,000$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Bills | 37c | 999.13$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Ravens | 58c | 920$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…b203backed Ravens | 58c | 879.39$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…d10cbacked Bills | 44c | 879$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…e5ecbacked Ravens | 58c | 863.79$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…a85cbacked Bills | 44c | 863.64$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…113fbacked Bills | 44c | 845.09$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…69babacked Bills | 45c | 837.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bills | 44c | 836.17$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.91 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Bills | 10c | 772.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Bills | 45c | 764.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.22 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 17c | 752$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Bills | 44c | 701.14$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Ravens | 58c | 643.86$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bills | 11c | 636.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Bills | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Bills | 36c | 558.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Bills | 14c | 549.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…ebfabacked Bills | 7c | 529.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Bills | 44c | 527.18$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Bills | 44c | 521.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Bills | 16c | 516.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8d…b65bbacked Ravens | 57c | 502$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…2a42backed Bills | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Ravens | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Bills | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Bills | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Ravens | 57c | 499.98$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Ravens | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 44c | 452.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Bills | 17c | 450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Bills | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Bills | 35c | 428.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Bills | 18c | 425.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Bills | 15c | 424.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Ravens | 57c | 422.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Bills | 31c | 410.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Bills | 12c | 407.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ravens | 65c | 404.28$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Ravens | 58c | 403.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Bills | 33c | 399.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.