F1 · resolved market
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b5a56870539d50ee693b0313ca4f96555c3054e44c2827bad91b18fff0411c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa346…baefbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 2,947$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc6…b817backed No | 1c | 2,569$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 34c | 2,177$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.55 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 2c | 1,831$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 3c | 1,466$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…6b1abacked Yes | 73c | 1,384$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 16c | 1,216$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 38c | 1,174$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 1,136$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 13c | 973.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 80c | 859.99$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 58c | 830.2$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.76 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 3c | 819.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 43c | 802.87$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…817cbacked No | 8c | 769.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…9525backed Yes | 78c | 625.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…f2aabacked Yes | 46c | 613.17$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…84a8backed No | 44c | 505.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 39c | 484.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…5753backed Yes | 34c | 472.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…ceadbacked No | 33c | 415.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed No | 26c | 387.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…0fb8backed No | 27c | 367.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 7c | 347.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes | 78c | 333.21$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed No | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…9387backed No | 42c | 266.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 78c | 241.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…a633backed Yes | 75c | 238.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked No | 42c | 238.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…5553backed Yes | 63c | 233.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Yes | 50c | 225.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…047dbacked No | 17c | 220.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe783…aa3abacked Yes | 64c | 219.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…ea03backed No | 19c | 218.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…a6bebacked No | 70c | 213.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…6125backed No | 56c | 212.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…d89abacked Yes | 56c | 197.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9417backed No | 74c | 196.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…7ad5backed Yes | 62c | 192.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed No | 57c | 191$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed No | 42c | 187.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39d…71c7backed Yes | 55c | 181.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…6a27backed Yes | 74c | 180.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…dc62backed Yes | 43c | 178.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc5…1731backed Yes | 79c | 172.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…3330backed No | 65c | 171.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed No | 12c | 170.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 59c | 169.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 72c | 167.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed No | 22c | 164.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…866dbacked Yes | 61c | 162.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d0…29e7backed No | 31c | 158.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 49c | 157.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…0396backed Yes | 58c | 155.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…0009backed No | 26c | 155.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…f337backed Yes | 68c | 147.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…f41fbacked No | 12c | 145.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…5742backed Yes | 71c | 144.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked No | 35c | 144.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…03e8backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…4befbacked No | 53c | 142.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked No | 39c | 136.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f83backed No | 23c | 135.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…b3eabacked Yes | 69c | 135.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd98…e27abacked Yes | 55c | 135.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad6…e938backed No | 25c | 129.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…d284backed No | 21c | 129.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…4a0cbacked No | 35c | 127.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 22c | 126.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…9e7dbacked Yes | 32c | 126$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83eb…2ea6backed No | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 51c | 121$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 79c | 116.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Yes | 9c | 116.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +360.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 11c | 110.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked No | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 64c | 109.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…52f1backed Yes | 51c | 106.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…1668backed No | 20c | 103.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…2b6ebacked No | 29c | 101.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…aa8dbacked Yes | 58c | 100.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed No | 36c | 100.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +336.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…043cbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…2e45backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…b72bbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…36c8backed No | 12c | 99.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 66c | 96.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…9799backed No | 18c | 96.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…8c2cbacked Yes | 72c | 92.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 35c | 92.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 27c | 91.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.