TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Golden Knights, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,442 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb41…276abacked Golden Knights41c9,677$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e14…ce7ebacked Oilers59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights4c5,411$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2188…29babacked Golden Knights41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Golden Knights2c4,500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…d305backed Oilers59c4,400$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Golden Knights1c2,463$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Golden Knights1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights40c1,924$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.251,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Golden Knights38c1,552$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.966657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Oilers61c1,305$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.25977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights1c1,251$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.177450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Oilers57c1,118$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Golden Knights43c1,050$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.114551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Golden Knights3c961.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Golden Knights38c573.75$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.033033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Golden Knights34c492.81$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Oilers73c491.21$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.811450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Oilers60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers58c370.67$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Golden Knights5c369.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6114012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Oilers61c365.25$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Oilers72c360$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.85750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights39c342.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0319150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6d…fdefbacked Golden Knights41c339.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf573…de66backed Oilers59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Golden Knights12c335.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.257444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Oilers60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed Golden Knights29c258.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.011,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights6c204.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf389…dbc7backed Oilers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights40c166.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.671,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Oilers61c165.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.574158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc5…624ebacked Oilers62c160.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a2…9a47backed Golden Knights28c139.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Golden Knights39c131.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bf…374ebacked Golden Knights44c113.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c4…e867backed Oilers77c104.87$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75e…f537backed Oilers77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Golden Knights39c103$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1711445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666f…d5d4backed Golden Knights38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Golden Knights41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4150049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1130backed Golden Knights42c99.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights42c99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Golden Knights42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f30bbacked Golden Knights41c91.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Oilers59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7538040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Golden Knights22c84.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6414949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers61c77.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed Oilers62c76.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a0…cf9bbacked Oilers59c75.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7426…9e9fbacked Golden Knights27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Golden Knights27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0c…8adebacked Golden Knights39c68.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Oilers68c66.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8da…b66abacked Oilers60c64.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…fd20backed Oilers59c60.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3418…187fbacked Oilers60c60.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78dc…7b70backed Oilers59c59.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x109d…6c43backed Golden Knights41c58.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1840…67aabacked Golden Knights35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d7…6b46backed Golden Knights42c56.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c0…f372backed Golden Knights40c56.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb971…bafabacked Oilers59c53.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.884100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Oilers58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Golden Knights39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Golden Knights41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Oilers59c49.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights41c49.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc886…dfafbacked Golden Knights41c48.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ed…e22ebacked Oilers60c48.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc772…a792backed Golden Knights40c47.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c06…6a50backed Oilers59c47.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a18…ad9dbacked Oilers59c47.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1597…2a12backed Oilers60c47.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…4ee5backed Golden Knights43c46.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9b4…6c99backed Golden Knights41c46.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x145c…cfa8backed Golden Knights39c46.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x941d…9f2ebacked Golden Knights37c45.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Golden Knights44c45.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Golden Knights44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0429…fd52backed Golden Knights40c44.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb573…093ebacked Golden Knights41c43.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdd…54f0backed Oilers59c43.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d10…7828backed Golden Knights41c41.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfe…0111backed Golden Knights41c41.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcc…1573backed Oilers58c40.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…da03backed Oilers58c40.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2198…317abacked Oilers59c40.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5107…b486backed Golden Knights41c40.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b1…3ce8backed Oilers59c40.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeff…00a9backed Oilers59c40.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f53…8fdfbacked Oilers58c40.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Oilers59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.