NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84e39e7407fe99b0bd40044ebb384bca68b74bc0ddc47a771e9feeb0b262c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Vikings, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eab…5692backed 49ers | 68c | 9,994$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,846 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vikings | 33c | 9,333$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,282.81 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Vikings | 31c | 7,026$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.39 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 49ers | 66c | 4,769$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.78 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed 49ers | 68c | 3,981$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.36 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Vikings | 69c | 3,848$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.78 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed 49ers | 26c | 2,920$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.08 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked 49ers | 49c | 2,778$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.92 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed 49ers | 70c | 2,409$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.87 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Vikings | 35c | 2,028$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.33 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed 49ers | 47c | 2,000$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked 49ers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…7e9abacked Vikings | 32c | 1,905$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Vikings | 76c | 1,888$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked 49ers | 62c | 1,860$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 49ers | 48c | 1,688$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.51 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Vikings | 80c | 1,527$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked 49ers | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Vikings | 32c | 1,465$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.35 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed 49ers | 15c | 1,376$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Vikings | 31c | 1,333$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked 49ers | 55c | 1,314$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.49 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed 49ers | 35c | 1,017$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.31 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…58c0backed 49ers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked 49ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Vikings | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Vikings | 57c | 950$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings | 33c | 906.06$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.06 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed 49ers | 2c | 805.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed 49ers | 46c | 798.77$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.43 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Vikings | 80c | 732.69$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked 49ers | 56c | 700$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed 49ers | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked 49ers | 71c | 688.51$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 60c | 677.27$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked 49ers | 69c | 610.86$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.49 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Vikings | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Vikings | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…ec89backed Vikings | 36c | 560.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Vikings | 65c | 556.18$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Vikings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed 49ers | 56c | 482$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked 49ers | 3c | 472.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed 49ers | 68c | 470.58$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Vikings | 74c | 470$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed 49ers | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Vikings | 33c | 450$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed 49ers | 69c | 444$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Vikings | 80c | 420$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed 49ers | 68c | 414.74$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…3282backed 49ers | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed 49ers | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vikings | 80c | 316.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…fcc4backed 49ers | 69c | 310.13$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Vikings | 55c | 304$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Vikings | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed 49ers | 70c | 262.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3598…5b3fbacked 49ers | 68c | 259.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed 49ers | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…a742backed 49ers | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked 49ers | 70c | 243.07$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 44c | 216.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Vikings | 48c | 210.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…3f09backed 49ers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Vikings | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed 49ers | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 49ers | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed 49ers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked 49ers | 60c | 182.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…615bbacked 49ers | 54c | 176.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked 49ers | 13c | 155.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed 49ers | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Vikings | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Vikings | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed 49ers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed 49ers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…bff7backed 49ers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked 49ers | 56c | 142.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Vikings | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed 49ers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Vikings | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed 49ers | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Vikings | 33c | 130$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed 49ers | 73c | 128.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed 49ers | 66c | 127.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed 49ers | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…14ecbacked Vikings | 33c | 115$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed 49ers | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…46fbbacked 49ers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed 49ers | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Vikings | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…f0c3backed 49ers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Vikings | 35c | 97.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed 49ers | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed 49ers | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed 49ers | 64c | 85.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed 49ers | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…d65dbacked 49ers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…620bbacked 49ers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.