La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3ec7e11107d4ef9d964af935f0d5a0c87e9f69b4a4c5fe7385f90be286d700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 63c | 14,616$9,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 37c | 13,026$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 62c | 8,508$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.56 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…9467backed Yes | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Yes | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,940$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.18 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…dc53backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 37c | 1,111$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…1ac3backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 990.65$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 60c | 896.66$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 39c | 499.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 63c | 375.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…9932backed Yes | 79c | 354.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed Yes | 80c | 345.86$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked No | 69c | 290.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…09ffbacked Yes | 37c | 289.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…ee57backed No | 65c | 283.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…84d5backed Yes | 37c | 277$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 38c | 262.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 38c | 262.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…85d4backed Yes | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 36c | 204.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 16c | 197.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…14cbbacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 38c | 149.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Yes | 79c | 116.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e195backed Yes | 40c | 99.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…5538backed No | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…91a0backed No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…da0dbacked No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…1242backed No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…d1d4backed No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…a17dbacked No | 61c | 99.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…b9a4backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…c30abacked Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…3d63backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…9d30backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…b950backed Yes | 40c | 98.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…1e74backed Yes | 40c | 96.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…271cbacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…d0f2backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fd…3443backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…fd35backed Yes | 35c | 77.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…437bbacked Yes | 38c | 71.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 37c | 64.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…1402backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8441backed Yes | 41c | 58.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7074…e8d1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 38c | 53.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…8e5dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…329abacked Yes | 38c | 52.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…5e49backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…e8dabacked Yes | 40c | 43.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed No | 62c | 43.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…c8aebacked Yes | 38c | 34.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 70c | 34.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…2c5cbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…7ed5backed No | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…ecfabacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…84e5backed Yes | 60c | 26.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…51a9backed No | 62c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat Atletico Madrid?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.