NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x929eb56aa8f6e910ca5de736d7ec1393455a5331c5e945e935965f2c9e02801f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Wild, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa889…4ca6backed Kings | 50c | 10,003$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…eba5backed Wild | 50c | 10,003$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 59c | 3,120$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.54 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Wild | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wild | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wild | 26c | 728.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Kings | 66c | 547.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…0672backed Wild | 42c | 354.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…f900backed Kings | 62c | 350.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Wild | 11c | 327.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 38c | 322.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Kings | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Wild | 39c | 292.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings | 69c | 251.55$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 58c | 226.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Wild | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Kings | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…f932backed Wild | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Wild | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Wild | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Kings | 60c | 94.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Wild | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…472cbacked Kings | 62c | 71.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…c496backed Wild | 41c | 70.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Kings | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Kings | 59c | 53.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Wild | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 60c | 49.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Wild | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wild | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa603…308fbacked Wild | 42c | 39.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 40c | 38.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 59c | 37.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a7…0b44backed Kings | 59c | 36.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3a…3499backed Kings | 57c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…f933backed Wild | 43c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Kings | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Wild | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…c4fdbacked Kings | 58c | 26.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Kings | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…400fbacked Kings | 59c | 17.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.