NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a027ebe52693150b0bf6fffe69ed065ef269ae392418576abcd8df3fe521a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Packers | 46c | 10,033$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.47 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…fac7backed Colts | 60c | 9,042$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Packers | 43c | 5,536$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.77 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Packers | 44c | 4,724$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.36 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Colts | 56c | 4,529$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.44 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Packers | 41c | 4,421$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Colts | 57c | 3,552$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.81 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Packers | 45c | 3,030$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Colts | 55c | 2,700$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.91 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 57c | 2,339$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.95 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Packers | 42c | 2,298$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.77 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Packers | 40c | 2,224$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.1 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Packers | 40c | 2,122$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.02 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Packers | 67c | 1,898$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.12 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…d5cdbacked Colts | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Colts | 57c | 1,268$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.64 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Packers | 44c | 1,180$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Packers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Colts | 48c | 648.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Colts | 10c | 589.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Colts | 19c | 574.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Packers | 40c | 564.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Colts | 50c | 541$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Packers | 42c | 516.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Colts | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Colts | 59c | 500$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Packers | 44c | 499.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Colts | 41c | 497.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed Colts | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Colts | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Packers | 42c | 424.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Packers | 42c | 424.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 47c | 391.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.54 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Packers | 44c | 383.64$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.84 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 60c | 333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Colts | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Colts | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Colts | 60c | 248.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…fb7dbacked Colts | 57c | 241.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Packers | 42c | 229.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Colts | 57c | 210$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Colts | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Colts | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Colts | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Colts | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Colts | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Packers | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Colts | 22c | 198.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Packers | 56c | 196.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Packers | 80c | 187$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Colts | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Colts | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Colts | 60c | 168$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 70c | 141.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…620bbacked Colts | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Colts | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Colts | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…664dbacked Packers | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Colts | 60c | 103.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Packers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Colts | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Colts | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Packers | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Colts | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Colts | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Colts | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Colts | 17c | 86.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Colts | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…778ebacked Packers | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…7b70backed Packers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Colts | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Colts | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Colts | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cab…6817backed Colts | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Colts | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Colts | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ba9bbacked Colts | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Colts | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Colts | 59c | 49.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Packers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Packers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…bb6dbacked Colts | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Packers | 70c | 41.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Colts | 31c | 40.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Packers | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Colts | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed Colts | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed Colts | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314b…209bbacked Packers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Packers | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Packers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Colts | 57c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdee…d1fcbacked Packers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Packers | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…14ecbacked Packers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Colts | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Colts | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.