NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5311b34d89ffccce641ae149eab72b5b74b057d1e11bd95d028813a38907dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chargers, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Chargers | 4c | 7,381$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.28 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Chiefs | 64c | 6,414$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.93 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Chargers | 25c | 6,009$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.49 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Chargers | 61c | 4,778$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Chiefs | 78c | 4,000$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed Chargers | 27c | 3,673$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Chiefs | 64c | 3,300$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.24 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Chargers | 24c | 2,868$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.75 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Chargers | 40c | 2,758$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.85 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 52c | 2,599$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.21 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…425dbacked Chargers | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Chiefs | 58c | 2,484$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.4 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Chiefs | 77c | 2,139$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.51 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chiefs | 75c | 2,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chiefs | 54c | 2,041$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.06 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Chargers | 41c | 1,623$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.74 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 22c | 1,532$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.16 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Chargers | 22c | 1,348$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…bbe5backed Chiefs | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce6…4b21backed Chargers | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Chargers | 26c | 1,230$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Chiefs | 79c | 1,010$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chiefs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Chiefs | 57c | 1,000$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Chargers | 21c | 979.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chargers | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Chargers | 44c | 885.83$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.43 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 74c | 834$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chiefs | 77c | 803.44$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Chiefs | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…0a28backed Chargers | 27c | 800$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Chargers | 6c | 782.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…d87bbacked Chargers | 26c | 710.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…9c92backed Chiefs | 71c | 710.25$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chiefs | 76c | 654.17$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Chargers | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Chiefs | 52c | 600$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 71c | 600$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…3826backed Chiefs | 65c | 584.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Chargers | 24c | 570.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Chargers | 55c | 558.09$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Chargers | 48c | 548.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers | 13c | 538.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Chargers | 26c | 473.08$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chiefs | 57c | 469.15$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…ebfabacked Chargers | 10c | 455.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Chargers | 45c | 444.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chiefs | 77c | 435$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Chargers | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1687…cfdcbacked Chargers | 48c | 412.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…ee37backed Chiefs | 56c | 409.64$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…393ebacked Chargers | 22c | 387.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Chargers | 26c | 377.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Chargers | 23c | 353.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Chiefs | 73c | 349.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…57e5backed Chiefs | 65c | 294.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Chargers | 54c | 272$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chargers | 12c | 255.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Chargers | 14c | 251.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Chiefs | 65c | 251$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Chiefs | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Chiefs | 77c | 233.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chargers | 57c | 229.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…8411backed Chargers | 45c | 220.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chiefs | 51c | 220$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Chiefs | 74c | 201.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Chiefs | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Chargers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Chiefs | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…c97dbacked Chargers | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Chargers | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Chargers | 25c | 196.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Chiefs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Chiefs | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Chargers | 51c | 173.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…aa6ebacked Chargers | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Chargers | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Chargers | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Chiefs | 66c | 150.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd2…3b94backed Chargers | 25c | 149.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Chiefs | 74c | 146$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Chiefs | 69c | 136.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Chiefs | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Chargers | 24c | 135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Chiefs | 58c | 133.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Chiefs | 61c | 131$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Chiefs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Chiefs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Chiefs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cddcbacked Chargers | 24c | 128.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Chiefs | 77c | 128.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Chiefs | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Chargers | 40c | 122.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Chiefs | 54c | 120.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Chargers | 23c | 117.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Chiefs | 51c | 116.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Chargers | 21c | 108.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…4cf3backed Chargers | 47c | 105.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Chargers | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Chargers | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.