Middle East · resolved market
Iran military response before October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe172d2289a5d799515311349c6580bd95a9b64f93a9aab719d88c0f0d3b0e216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 21c | 77,663$16,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,349.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 9c | 32,242$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.47 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed No | 66c | 23,413$15,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 63c | 20,935$13,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 19c | 20,459$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…61fdbacked Yes | 4c | 11,466$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 19c | 10,777$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 12c | 10,388$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.68 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 18c | 10,268$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.7 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 12c | 7,049$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.68 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…00b3backed Yes | 3c | 6,230$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 28c | 6,119$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.14 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 5,795$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.79 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…fc00backed Yes | 40c | 5,539$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…0494backed No | 69c | 5,517$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed Yes | 18c | 5,095$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.45 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…9de3backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 4,963$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Yes | 21c | 4,910$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…84bcbacked Yes | 39c | 4,899$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 26c | 4,682$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.7 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 11c | 4,487$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.7 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…de46backed Yes | 29c | 4,400$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.22 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked No | 67c | 4,200$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 6c | 3,966$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 31c | 3,627$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.2 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…730bbacked No | 78c | 3,481$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 77c | 2,915$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 74c | 2,840$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,638$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 41c | 2,450$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.99 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…cca4backed No | 63c | 2,277$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 5c | 2,240$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 6c | 2,085$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…aa67backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,916$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 64c | 1,827$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…8db9backed Yes | 8c | 1,684$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 5c | 1,626$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked No | 62c | 1,474$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 68c | 1,397$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…3356backed Yes | 1c | 1,281$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…b6bbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,215$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…62ebbacked No | 69c | 1,148$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,100$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +10.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 29c | 1,063$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…f01fbacked Yes | 11c | 968.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked Yes | 33c | 950$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 934.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…5b60backed Yes | 11c | 934.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 2c | 933.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 902.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…aeddbacked Yes | 30c | 894.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…98fcbacked No | 79c | 889.8$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…7a7cbacked No | 80c | 873.84$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 7c | 861.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8441backed Yes | 37c | 778$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb26…4e11backed No | 77c | 764.02$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed No | 64c | 756.37$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 12c | 724.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 14c | 722$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 63c | 618.71$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…2dcebacked Yes | 25c | 608$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 35c | 592.17$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…d84ebacked Yes | 35c | 583.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…1fefbacked Yes | 35c | 575.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…21f4backed Yes | 4c | 547.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 8c | 542.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked Yes | 10c | 521.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 484.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 65c | 469.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed Yes | 10c | 466.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 22c | 461.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 10c | 451.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…bbe6backed Yes | 10c | 440.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 28c | 438.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 77c | 428.84$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed No | 70c | 426.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c6a8backed Yes | 45c | 420$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…14bbbacked Yes | 33c | 419.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…957ebacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked No | 66c | 396.43$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e9…ced2backed Yes | 35c | 383.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 4c | 379.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…a936backed Yes | 37c | 375.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Yes | 4c | 353.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb52…6a7cbacked No | 79c | 348.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…5c8ebacked Yes | 15c | 335.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 68c | 333$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…711bbacked No | 75c | 331.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…8341backed Yes | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…ac82backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…88ebbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.