World Politics · resolved market
Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e946751c16efcb5d14f463fceb2816dbc53884c723661f15d336c97ce55da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 52,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…d431backed Yes | 29c | 9,668$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 74c | 6,583$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,946$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 29c | 4,274$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…0dd7backed Yes | 27c | 3,963$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…cee6backed Yes | 29c | 3,411$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 5c | 3,287$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Yes | 38c | 3,047$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…9db1backed Yes | 15c | 2,596$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Yes | 23c | 2,376$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 54c | 2,212$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce9…8a7cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,109$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2c…3544backed Yes | 20c | 1,789$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 58c | 1,687$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.06 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…d062backed Yes | 22c | 1,666$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 41c | 1,442$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f4…dbfebacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe67b…3ec6backed Yes | 23c | 1,245$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 33c | 1,241$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.31 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 60c | 1,212$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.08 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 60c | 1,142$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…60d2backed Yes | 30c | 1,110$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…a86fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,101$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 11c | 1,041$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Yes | 14c | 1,009$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…859ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…65e1backed Yes | 38c | 896.76$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 26c | 800$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 759.78$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Yes | 10c | 749.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79d…5489backed Yes | 35c | 743.1$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 712.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…d7cdbacked Yes | 36c | 697.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 40c | 680.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…159fbacked Yes | 20c | 679.62$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…02e6backed Yes | 26c | 620.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 26c | 611.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f8…abfbbacked Yes | 3c | 517.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…b6b7backed Yes | 21c | 506$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc03…5a65backed Yes | 41c | 480.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 36c | 470.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 470.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…83e9backed Yes | 24c | 455.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 388.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…3023backed Yes | 20c | 358.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…a985backed Yes | 28c | 355$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd1…7df8backed Yes | 16c | 354$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 13c | 350$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 43c | 330$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 27c | 317.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…f4d1backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 65c | 293$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 60c | 293$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…ab76backed No | 78c | 248.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…e636backed Yes | 46c | 234.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…d0e4backed No | 78c | 216.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…b5f1backed No | 57c | 215.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…c687backed Yes | 43c | 215$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 34c | 200.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…a31abacked Yes | 31c | 193.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…6069backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 36c | 178.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Yes | 22c | 176.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…ca3cbacked Yes | 70c | 161.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…7f4fbacked Yes | 16c | 156$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed No | 60c | 149.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…4b94backed Yes | 31c | 148.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Yes | 55c | 146.77$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b39…0b6bbacked Yes | 25c | 140.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed No | 68c | 129.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…e3a1backed Yes | 33c | 129.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…6602backed Yes | 42c | 126.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…89c0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…6b71backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…2157backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…f18cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…fd35backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a23backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…41acbacked Yes | 37c | 98.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…2feebacked Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…b891backed Yes | 17c | 89.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…3a77backed Yes | 22c | 89.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…5ffabacked Yes | 33c | 88.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bde…1754backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…9832backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed Yes | 27c | 86.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed No | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 40c | 79.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…5c9fbacked No | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…1fd3backed Yes | 39c | 77.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…b694backed Yes | 31c | 74.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked Yes | 44c | 71.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a20…0297backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…5dfebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…7fadbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked No | 62c | 62.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?this page
- Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?Yes won
- Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?No won
- Will the Greens win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.