NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Browns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa31e54b19d2d046dfa6c673453678ef944e624b6ebd1162111e9e1d5f62fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Raiders, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Browns | 49c | 40,897$20,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,039.32 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Browns | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Raiders | 46c | 27,953$12,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,998.27 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 46c | 11,315$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.92 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Browns | 59c | 8,650$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.24 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns | 54c | 8,075$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.89 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Browns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Raiders | 51c | 4,069$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.43 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Browns | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raiders | 47c | 3,440$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.15 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 59c | 3,398$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.88 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…3e08backed Raiders | 43c | 3,039$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…d3a7backed Browns | 58c | 3,039$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…425dbacked Raiders | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…baadbacked Browns | 29c | 2,985$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.1 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…cbb0backed Browns | 28c | 2,942$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Browns | 56c | 2,096$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.65 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Browns | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.98 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Browns | 56c | 1,999$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.63 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns | 30c | 1,985$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 43c | 1,848$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.97 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Raiders | 51c | 1,823$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Raiders | 70c | 1,111$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Raiders | 45c | 1,084$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…5c69backed Browns | 54c | 1,002$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3215backed Browns | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac93backed Raiders | 46c | 1,001$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…f655backed Raiders | 45c | 1,001$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raiders | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Raiders | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Browns | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3816…634dbacked Browns | 56c | 898.21$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…5748backed Raiders | 45c | 897.78$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Browns | 56c | 876.07$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…84c7backed Raiders | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…6d79backed Browns | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…6dd5backed Browns | 58c | 554.35$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…0ee0backed Raiders | 44c | 554$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Browns | 48c | 546.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Raiders | 52c | 529.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.95 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Raiders | 43c | 522.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Browns | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Browns | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Raiders | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Raiders | 77c | 422.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Raiders | 69c | 379.36$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Browns | 47c | 358.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Browns | 28c | 356.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…c97dbacked Raiders | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Browns | 26c | 349.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…a842backed Browns | 57c | 297.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…9ff2backed Raiders | 45c | 291.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Raiders | 42c | 290.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Raiders | 44c | 285.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 138 | 66.7%92 W · 46 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Raiders | 45c | 275.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…c209backed Browns | 53c | 273.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d9c9backed Raiders | 47c | 272$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Browns | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Raiders | 38c | 262.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f01…84c7backed Browns | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Raiders | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Raiders | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…7289backed Raiders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Browns | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Browns | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Browns | 57c | 203.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…6a77backed Raiders | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Browns | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Raiders | 70c | 191.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Browns | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Browns | 48c | 179.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Raiders | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Raiders | 45c | 132.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…48c4backed Raiders | 52c | 120.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Raiders | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 43c | 111.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Browns | 48c | 103.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Browns | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…9d6cbacked Browns | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…3d16backed Browns | 57c | 99.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5c…aa20backed Browns | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…99e3backed Browns | 56c | 99.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…4d56backed Raiders | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…4170backed Raiders | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…762bbacked Raiders | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0a…8c4dbacked Raiders | 44c | 98.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Raiders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…8411backed Raiders | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Raiders | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Browns | 46c | 84.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Raiders | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Browns | 56c | 73.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…0d32backed Raiders | 44c | 69.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Raiders | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Browns | 50c | 65.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…3aecbacked Raiders | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…701dbacked Raiders | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Raiders | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raiders | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Browns | 56c | 52.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.