Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f39808829da93cfd189807f13f6d86a0e604835e6f9482d8094fac46b3abaac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,937,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,440,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,937,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc9…2a9abacked No | 1c | 301,832$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…30b2backed Yes | 21c | 162,664$33,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,735.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…a8c3backed Yes | 15c | 158,043$23,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,628.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 23cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…ac1abacked Yes | 22c | 115,812$25,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,809.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +244.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…97a1backed No | 0c | 114,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked Yes | 19c | 110,496$20,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,805.28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 64c | 84,227$53,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,620.75 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…8c44backed Yes | 16c | 82,864$13,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,819.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 3c | 81,621$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 59c | 69,625$41,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,303.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 75c | 64,479$48,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,228.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4231backed Yes | 17c | 52,178$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,288.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…d068backed Yes | 28c | 49,553$13,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,562.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…f867backed Yes | 13c | 47,698$6,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,572.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 15c | 44,938$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,259.03 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 79c | 44,390$34,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,863.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…2d2abacked Yes | 15c | 43,253$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,920.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +583%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 17c | 37,812$6,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,356.89 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…b691backed Yes | 14c | 34,849$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,848.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d20…16ddbacked Yes | 18c | 32,698$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,659.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +262.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 14c | 31,941$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,364.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 75c | 31,310$23,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,430.2 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 23c | 27,893$6,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.03 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 20c | 26,133$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.6 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…d6a5backed No | 36c | 24,816$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,033.68 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed Yes | 17c | 23,900$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,953.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed No | 2c | 23,200$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…ac10backed Yes | 28c | 22,000$6,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,865.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +168%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 18c | 21,799$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,850.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 11c | 21,042$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,665.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 45c | 20,944$9,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,482.69 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…04b1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 78c | 18,120$14,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,123.96 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…0126backed Yes | 17c | 17,731$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,652.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 74c | 16,741$12,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,432.26 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 76c | 16,729$12,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,715.59 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 17c | 15,704$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,068.96 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…bc8dbacked Yes | 20c | 15,603$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,492.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 14c | 15,240$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 15c | 15,093$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,837.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 14c | 14,770$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,769.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…efd2backed Yes | 16c | 14,742$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,364.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…f3b0backed No | 1c | 14,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01a…f311backed Yes | 27c | 14,120$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,283.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +268.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…38dabacked Yes | 21c | 13,039$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,241.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 18c | 12,730$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.46 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 3c | 12,249$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…e56bbacked No | 72c | 12,080$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…cd5bbacked Yes | 29c | 11,902$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,483.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a5c8backed Yes | 16c | 11,760$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,850.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked Yes | 19c | 11,194$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,064.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 15c | 10,604$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,995.56 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 22c | 10,568$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,205.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.39per pick | 15cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked No | 80c | 10,430$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4a…a17fbacked Yes | 20c | 9,833$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,873.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 23c | 9,570$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 9,547$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…6ec9backed Yes | 16c | 9,487$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,006.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +541%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 36c | 9,436$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.89 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 77c | 9,380$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.46 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed No | 1c | 9,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5510…2083backed Yes | 27c | 8,333$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 69c | 8,331$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.93 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…9883backed Yes | 31c | 8,124$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 75c | 7,924$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.33 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…b74abacked No | 76c | 7,561$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 79c | 7,500$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.83 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed No | 73c | 7,438$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,455.33 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…272fbacked Yes | 20c | 7,378$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…af31backed Yes | 12c | 7,266$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +130%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b0…881dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,033$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.91 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 54c | 7,013$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.61 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 79c | 6,954$5,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,493.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 73c | 6,914$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.81 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 68c | 6,864$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.42 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…e491backed Yes | 16c | 6,824$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.38 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…2677backed Yes | 15c | 6,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 12c | 6,556$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.28 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…7b71backed Yes | 62c | 6,437$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 80c | 6,070$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53af…629fbacked Yes | 17c | 6,062$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 73c | 5,969$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.91 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 5,874$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.03 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 79c | 5,657$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…2eaabacked No | 76c | 5,327$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 0c | 5,241$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 79c | 5,100$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.99 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 18c | 5,071$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 7c | 4,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 53c | 4,439$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.63 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 78c | 4,301$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.19 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked No | 1c | 4,150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…3b43backed Yes | 15c | 4,125$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 20c | 4,088$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.24 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed Yes | 15c | 4,063$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 64c | 4,001$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.38 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 12c | 3,969$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.45 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4837…9103backed Yes | 18c | 3,863$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.