Boxing · resolved market
Will Speed sign deal to fight Jake Paul this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97fc8853a46e7547c0d5208d89e02a0d1b7654c71edacdb98cee719ec140f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 9,783$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…19e3backed Yes | 3c | 9,478$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,876$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 2c | 8,434$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…ca6abacked Yes | 19c | 7,046$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 5c | 5,144$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…168fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,342$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…4f83backed Yes | 2c | 4,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 12c | 3,803$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 3c | 3,501$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 3,077$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 3c | 2,680$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,041$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Yes | 3c | 2,012$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d9…1888backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,768$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,670$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,499$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…5058backed Yes | 2c | 1,357$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…a92dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,304$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…0ec4backed Yes | 2c | 1,261$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 3c | 1,201$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…7b02backed Yes | 5c | 1,121$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…e1febacked Yes | 3c | 1,102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…e434backed Yes | 2c | 1,071$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fb…846dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…5ea3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 3c | 979.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Yes | 1c | 860.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…5a02backed Yes | 4c | 831.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…aaf5backed Yes | 3c | 822.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cee…5f31backed Yes | 2c | 821.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Yes | 2c | 717.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dda…00f8backed Yes | 2c | 622.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…f951backed Yes | 2c | 610.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes | 2c | 535.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…2bcdbacked Yes | 3c | 533.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…5954backed Yes | 3c | 482.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e81…4adebacked Yes | 5c | 462.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba7…dbd7backed Yes | 2c | 460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e6…79e1backed Yes | 3c | 455$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…21bbbacked Yes | 4c | 406.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…2d3fbacked Yes | 4c | 337.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…5e2bbacked Yes | 6c | 325.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…c70bbacked Yes | 16c | 321.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…68b0backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…e129backed Yes | 6c | 183.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9738…9818backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.