NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d4740cce1eca97cd4729f8195793bbb086420feddb68b24df1a43fc8d93a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Falcons, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $343,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Chiefs | 44c | 31,281$13,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,437.21 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 61c | 28,311$17,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,106.31 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Falcons | 40c | 27,987$11,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,080.98 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Chiefs | 60c | 16,459$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.45 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…a48bbacked Falcons | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Falcons | 40c | 11,265$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.71 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Falcons | 59c | 11,018$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Falcons | 39c | 10,349$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Falcons | 27c | 9,971$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.4 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chiefs | 57c | 9,301$5,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.13 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Falcons | 40c | 9,250$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Falcons | 44c | 8,283$3,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.24 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Falcons | 33c | 7,905$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.53 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chiefs | 61c | 5,032$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chiefs | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Falcons | 30c | 4,006$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.34 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chiefs | 60c | 3,934$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.46 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Falcons | 38c | 3,852$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.03 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Falcons | 48c | 3,578$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.42 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Falcons | 24c | 3,208$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.68 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Falcons | 43c | 3,096$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.36 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Falcons | 40c | 3,055$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.04 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Falcons | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Chiefs | 60c | 2,998$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.37 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Chiefs | 60c | 2,561$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Chiefs | 60c | 2,496$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.29 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Chiefs | 68c | 2,444$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Chiefs | 68c | 2,391$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Chiefs | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Falcons | 34c | 2,008$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.38 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Falcons | 40c | 1,964$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.24 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Falcons | 12c | 1,726$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Falcons | 32c | 1,643$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Falcons | 39c | 1,640$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Falcons | 28c | 1,589$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chiefs | 54c | 1,563$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.81 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Chiefs | 66c | 1,522$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.53 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Falcons | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.41 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Falcons | 40c | 1,440$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Falcons | 42c | 1,200$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,184$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb43…b10abacked Chiefs | 61c | 1,162$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Chiefs | 61c | 1,153$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.01 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Chiefs | 60c | 1,132$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Falcons | 37c | 1,020$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Chiefs | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.6 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Chiefs | 60c | 1,001$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…2f0fbacked Falcons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Chiefs | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Falcons | 39c | 999.85$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Falcons | 36c | 999.59$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Chiefs | 51c | 978.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Falcons | 11c | 875$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Falcons | 38c | 780.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Chiefs | 60c | 764.57$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Falcons | 33c | 734.35$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Chiefs | 61c | 703.36$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.31 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Falcons | 39c | 699.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Chiefs | 61c | 661.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Chiefs | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Falcons | 33c | 601.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Chiefs | 65c | 589.4$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Chiefs | 61c | 520$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Chiefs | 61c | 518.03$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Chiefs | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Falcons | 44c | 500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Chiefs | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…2f40backed Chiefs | 61c | 491.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…7dfdbacked Falcons | 21c | 477.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Falcons | 40c | 430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Falcons | 23c | 414.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Falcons | 50c | 411.78$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Chiefs | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Falcons | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Chiefs | 57c | 394.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Chiefs | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Chiefs | 46c | 387.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Falcons | 31c | 382.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Falcons | 39c | 378$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…299dbacked Falcons | 48c | 377.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…98a9backed Chiefs | 61c | 354.28$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Chiefs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…668bbacked Chiefs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Chiefs | 62c | 321.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Chiefs | 62c | 321$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…e07ebacked Chiefs | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Falcons | 27c | 318.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Chiefs | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…031bbacked Chiefs | 47c | 315$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Chiefs | 61c | 303.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Chiefs | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Falcons | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Chiefs | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Falcons | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Chiefs | 74c | 297.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed Chiefs | 62c | 278.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…06bbbacked Chiefs | 64c | 275.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Chiefs | 61c | 275$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Falcons | 39c | 274.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.