Middle East · resolved market
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbd56dc728feb63f3b3276bbc23be9241c1adaaa4eabdc5733f3a34de33041e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,770,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,737,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,770,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 8c | 161,704$12,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,822.35 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ed…7716backed Yes | 11c | 59,382$6,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 28c | 51,219$14,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,460.79 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…8f86backed Yes | 47c | 43,078$20,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,382.84 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed Yes | 9c | 38,273$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 8c | 31,832$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 79c | 24,774$19,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…8b32backed Yes | 5c | 21,093$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +318.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…f0cfbacked No | 77c | 20,102$15,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…5208backed Yes | 28c | 17,598$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…f0b2backed Yes | 3c | 17,425$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…bc43backed Yes | 12c | 16,700$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…f47fbacked Yes | 68c | 14,627$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 14,206$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.72 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a5c8backed Yes | 7c | 14,153$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 6c | 14,149$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.58 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 59c | 13,715$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 9c | 13,500$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 11c | 13,384$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.84 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 9c | 13,256$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.2 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed Yes | 11c | 12,625$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.17 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…56c6backed Yes | 12c | 12,253$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…0c95backed Yes | 16c | 12,199$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.08 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…ecdbbacked Yes | 10c | 12,119$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 68c | 11,848$8,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,814.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…6324backed Yes | 8c | 11,130$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 9,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 11c | 9,440$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.61 | 72 | 6.9%5 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 79c | 9,191$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.51 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 74c | 8,926$6,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.42 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…a478backed Yes | 16c | 8,522$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 65c | 8,354$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.49 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 75c | 8,316$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.12 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…9767backed Yes | 11c | 8,230$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 70c | 8,018$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.22 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…343dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,928$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…d6d7backed Yes | 7c | 7,843$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 57c | 7,310$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 79c | 7,274$5,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…6fdabacked No | 80c | 7,135$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked No | 75c | 6,460$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab3…25a3backed Yes | 27c | 6,170$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…788abacked No | 30c | 5,920$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 28c | 5,835$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…f637backed Yes | 57c | 5,498$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 77c | 4,843$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.6 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9d6abacked Yes | 52c | 4,799$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…1b3ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,741$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…e74ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,717$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 20c | 4,663$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 13c | 4,458$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.26 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 8c | 4,424$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 78c | 4,344$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 12c | 4,278$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.31per pick | 28cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 4,151$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.39 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 32c | 4,134$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.23 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…324dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,082$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 69c | 4,078$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.68 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,075$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.12 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 11c | 4,030$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.42 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,982$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.88 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 7c | 3,947$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 75c | 3,910$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.67 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 62c | 3,803$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 5c | 3,800$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed Yes | 5c | 3,754$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…d78dbacked No | 74c | 3,749$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 24c | 3,746$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.76 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 52c | 3,564$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 18c | 3,329$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…8d2ebacked No | 74c | 3,304$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 8c | 3,291$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.02 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,231$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 3c | 3,200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 41c | 3,147$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 71c | 3,100$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed Yes | 53c | 2,964$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Yes | 28c | 2,856$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca11…6095backed Yes | 1c | 2,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 8c | 2,768$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…1a4ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,767$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…84e8backed Yes | 6c | 2,751$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…d9f3backed Yes | 39c | 2,731$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 12c | 2,646$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 4c | 2,509$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 75c | 2,500$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 25c | 2,410$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.22 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…4e38backed Yes | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 75c | 2,346$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.85 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…0dd7backed No | 47c | 2,332$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…997bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,329$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…24a9backed Yes | 23c | 2,266$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…daafbacked Yes | 4c | 2,233$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 10c | 2,218$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 55c | 2,162$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…abb9backed Yes | 40c | 2,049$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…6b20backed Yes | 8c | 2,046$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 68c | 2,023$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.29 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.