World Politics · resolved market
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c661a448ce62286d3f3f529e93d00d97e8490190802cccce32ad29163086307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 21c | 13,333$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.36 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 10,733$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.57 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 6,496$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…3387backed Yes | 2c | 6,370$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…40cfbacked Yes | 26c | 5,126$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…88d3backed Yes | 46c | 3,200$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 7c | 2,659$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…2c0bbacked No | 71c | 2,542$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 15c | 2,296$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…7b3dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,639$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…5902backed Yes | 19c | 1,585$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…ae3abacked No | 80c | 1,444$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…faf3backed No | 72c | 1,398$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,344$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…f2f6backed Yes | 14c | 1,292$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed No | 69c | 1,260$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,233$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…f1c6backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…f954backed Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 1,199$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 1,150$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 27c | 1,130$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Yes | 4c | 1,109$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…02dabacked Yes | 22c | 1,100$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…0449backed Yes | 2c | 1,062$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…4d07backed Yes | 31c | 1,062$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…b5dabacked Yes | 28c | 1,062$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 71c | 999.99$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 989.34$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…613ebacked Yes | 15c | 901.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 17c | 797.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 78c | 793.56$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…73e1backed Yes | 26c | 763.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…47f9backed Yes | 34c | 735.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…33afbacked Yes | 28c | 715.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…cf51backed No | 74c | 679.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…f74dbacked Yes | 28c | 676.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…9c87backed Yes | 2c | 664.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 24c | 576.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…0568backed Yes | 27c | 560.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 13c | 525.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 2c | 514.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…f911backed Yes | 30c | 505.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…131cbacked No | 80c | 502.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…99e1backed Yes | 29c | 481.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 25c | 479.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…a49abacked Yes | 15c | 455$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…545abacked Yes | 29c | 435.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…8a11backed Yes | 33c | 398.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 30c | 360$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…fd4bbacked Yes | 26c | 356.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 74c | 355.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 13c | 350.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a1c5backed Yes | 29c | 346.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 30c | 340$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…8d88backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Yes | 34c | 297.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 25c | 290$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e400backed Yes | 33c | 285.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 35c | 285.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…8a4bbacked Yes | 19c | 268.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…8b70backed Yes | 27c | 258.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…50dcbacked Yes | 26c | 250.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…8df5backed Yes | 23c | 247.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 10c | 246.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…9188backed Yes | 21c | 239.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…4b01backed Yes | 21c | 233.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…3ba0backed Yes | 21c | 232.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…7673backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 29c | 185$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…d4d9backed Yes | 21c | 181.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 28c | 180.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…94d6backed Yes | 31c | 160.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…9786backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab7…959cbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cd36backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb951…ec20backed Yes | 22c | 148.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc6…9f30backed Yes | 28c | 145.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…6467backed No | 79c | 142.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…7febbacked Yes | 33c | 140.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 30c | 134.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…6125backed No | 75c | 132.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…e284backed Yes | 30c | 131.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…904dbacked Yes | 22c | 128.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…8d1fbacked Yes | 20c | 124.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…14f2backed Yes | 36c | 123.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…3403backed Yes | 18c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Yes | 28c | 116.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…627fbacked Yes | 27c | 107.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…55d7backed Yes | 22c | 106.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…e83cbacked Yes | 18c | 106.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…6987backed Yes | 29c | 101.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x753a…6552backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?this page
- Will Andrés Ojeda win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
- Will Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
- Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Yes won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.