World Politics · resolved market
Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24849f6151db4691a332ea8beaa12af9c290340062f664797e6034d0cf4ea61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc45…40cfbacked No | 26c | 20,713$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 20c | 11,619$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.98 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 4,936$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.77 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 0c | 3,610$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 78c | 3,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 72c | 2,844$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…8a11backed No | 32c | 2,633$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,631$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Yes | 76c | 2,485$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 74c | 2,437$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes | 80c | 2,082$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3544…f21bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,076$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 75c | 1,873$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Yes | 77c | 1,743$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 80c | 1,448$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 23c | 1,428$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…e60cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…131cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,260$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956f…e875backed Yes | 78c | 1,193$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…88c4backed Yes | 80c | 1,169$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 71c | 1,053$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked Yes | 79c | 1,051$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…d860backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…aa77backed Yes | 80c | 902.55$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a83…98a7backed No | 23c | 867.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Yes | 78c | 865.1$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…2114backed Yes | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Yes | 76c | 777.88$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +256.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 69c | 756.46$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…73e1backed Yes | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 75c | 709.71$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…9555backed Yes | 72c | 694.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…b5dabacked No | 28c | 693.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 14c | 631.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed No | 23c | 599.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes | 77c | 542.7$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…8712backed Yes | 76c | 529.38$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…7b3dbacked Yes | 76c | 528.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 26c | 504.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…7acfbacked Yes | 75c | 500.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…002ebacked Yes | 77c | 490.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0f…df2bbacked Yes | 79c | 413.2$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…8498backed Yes | 78c | 377.39$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…8099backed Yes | 79c | 319.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…336cbacked Yes | 77c | 317.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…d367backed Yes | 77c | 317.31$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…3d96backed Yes | 75c | 306.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 23c | 271.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed Yes | 76c | 260.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…944abacked Yes | 78c | 257.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked No | 27c | 255.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…8a40backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…c537backed Yes | 76c | 250.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…d930backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…4860backed No | 28c | 226.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…e83cbacked No | 15c | 215.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…e73fbacked Yes | 72c | 206.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…8713backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…ea10backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…88bfbacked Yes | 79c | 192.14$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…b96abacked Yes | 76c | 184.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 182.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…cb76backed Yes | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…b5c0backed No | 13c | 167.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9e42backed Yes | 78c | 159.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Yes | 69c | 156.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Yes | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 34c | 153.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 75c | 146.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…53c3backed Yes | 76c | 144.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…d1d5backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 76c | 138.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…faf3backed Yes | 73c | 136.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Yes | 73c | 136.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked Yes | 71c | 136.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Yes | 77c | 134.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…f2aabacked Yes | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…ed15backed Yes | 76c | 131.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…2902backed Yes | 76c | 131.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…3292backed Yes | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…2c83backed Yes | 80c | 130.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335f…7670backed Yes | 76c | 128.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…2f6ebacked Yes | 72c | 127$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…d8b0backed Yes | 79c | 126.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…f64ebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked Yes | 76c | 118$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…8781backed Yes | 78c | 115.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…0bdbbacked No | 26c | 114.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…c583backed Yes | 73c | 114.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 70c | 111.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…0079backed No | 22c | 109.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 17c | 109.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…3403backed No | 13c | 106.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yamandú Orsi win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?this page
- Will Andrés Ojeda win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
- Will Guido Manini Ríos win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
- Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.