NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9d217ecb42848aa8e9dd5f99340c1da4711d676996607c72ee0f52f3e28a65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 69c | 22,574$15,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,483.63 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Warriors | 33c | 17,021$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,369.91 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Celtics | 69c | 9,788$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,753.62 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Celtics | 70c | 7,533$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.1 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 28c | 7,430$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.46 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 62c | 7,372$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.18 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Warriors | 56c | 6,975$3,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Warriors | 21c | 5,457$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 30c | 3,335$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.67 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Celtics | 70c | 3,135$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.52 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 65c | 3,066$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.09 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 56c | 2,807$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.19 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Warriors | 33c | 2,797$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 32c | 2,618$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.87 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 21c | 2,580$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.71 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd3…9309backed Warriors | 35c | 2,124$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…6ea2backed Celtics | 9c | 2,123$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Celtics | 68c | 2,036$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.91 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 31c | 2,000$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Warriors | 28c | 1,922$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Celtics | 69c | 1,890$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Warriors | 35c | 1,704$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.2 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Warriors | 30c | 1,620$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Celtics | 6c | 1,593$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Warriors | 30c | 1,467$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.8 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Celtics | 74c | 1,434$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Warriors | 31c | 1,432$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Celtics | 72c | 1,360$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Celtics | 72c | 1,265$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Warriors | 30c | 1,259$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 29c | 1,231$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.04 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 56c | 1,140$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Warriors | 25c | 1,014$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Celtics | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.23 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…4ca4backed Warriors | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Warriors | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Warriors | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 30c | 959.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.39 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Celtics | 71c | 882.33$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…e7dabacked Warriors | 29c | 860.87$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Warriors | 28c | 822.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Celtics | 66c | 818.19$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Celtics | 69c | 746.45$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Celtics | 70c | 717$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…dce7backed Warriors | 31c | 714.97$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Warriors | 28c | 693.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 2c | 682.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Celtics | 73c | 654.93$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Warriors | 46c | 639.83$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Celtics | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Celtics | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Warriors | 28c | 582.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Celtics | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Warriors | 28c | 541.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Warriors | 29c | 537.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 28c | 524.91$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Warriors | 31c | 502.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Warriors | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Celtics | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…16a6backed Warriors | 50c | 499.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Celtics | 68c | 486.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cdecbacked Celtics | 69c | 473.1$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Warriors | 32c | 466.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.17 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Warriors | 32c | 447.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Celtics | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Celtics | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 31c | 406.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Warriors | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Celtics | 79c | 400$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Celtics | 63c | 389.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Celtics | 71c | 384.56$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.36 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0de0backed Warriors | 33c | 357.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…f6b5backed Warriors | 28c | 357$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…75d2backed Warriors | 31c | 339.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Celtics | 69c | 333$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Warriors | 31c | 333$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…1dc5backed Celtics | 6c | 327.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…9c8cbacked Celtics | 69c | 324.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…2a09backed Warriors | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…a365backed Celtics | 72c | 302.66$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Warriors | 57c | 300.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Warriors | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…a421backed Celtics | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 60c | 296.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Celtics | 6c | 294$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Celtics | 66c | 293.57$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Warriors | 23c | 288$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Celtics | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…04c8backed Warriors | 35c | 282.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 68c | 280.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Celtics | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…3013backed Warriors | 57c | 273.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Celtics | 11c | 258.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Warriors | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed Warriors | 62c | 240.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…dd1cbacked Warriors | 42c | 238.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Warriors | 42c | 237.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Celtics | 68c | 233.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.