Movies · resolved market
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbebaf12706064df61110522ba7906f8f87de70961a265caff06551f4e9ad33e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa12…996cbacked Yes | 1c | 18,545$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8dd9backed Yes | 2c | 17,330$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 3c | 15,315$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 0c | 14,916$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a907backed Yes | 0c | 11,870$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 11,009$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…ea11backed Yes | 9c | 9,829$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…9142backed Yes | 1c | 8,984$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…b851backed Yes | 1c | 8,871$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…80f7backed Yes | 0c | 7,303$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 0c | 6,650$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…9832backed Yes | 9c | 6,097$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 9c | 4,922$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.98 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1e17backed Yes | 0c | 4,452$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 35c | 4,439$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.25 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…70b2backed Yes | 13c | 4,391$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 14c | 4,286$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.93 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ff…25f1backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 3,794$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.43 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 0c | 3,534$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,500$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 3,390$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.84 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 16c | 3,317$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.86 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 4c | 3,172$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.67 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 0c | 3,016$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…ea89backed Yes | 3c | 2,966$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 1c | 2,883$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 9c | 2,366$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,191$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…b2a0backed Yes | 5c | 2,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…b13ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,072$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +148%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…6fbabacked Yes | 19c | 1,301$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6087backed Yes | 15c | 1,293$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 13c | 1,256$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,224$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…90d6backed Yes | 13c | 1,214$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed Yes | 8c | 1,202$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…bc42backed Yes | 14c | 1,176$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…d73fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16e…a134backed Yes | 1c | 1,125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…7c24backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 10c | 999.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d2…9c24backed Yes | 19c | 946.57$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…bf04backed Yes | 31c | 851.39$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb554…c309backed Yes | 5c | 851.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…fe6ebacked Yes | 2c | 838.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 27c | 831$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…542bbacked Yes | 8c | 812.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed Yes | 17c | 799.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…6383backed Yes | 7c | 749.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed Yes | 16c | 710.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 68c | 689.1$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 679.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 20c | 672.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…0adbbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked Yes | 20c | 647.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 5c | 625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 2c | 585.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 14c | 578.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 19c | 566.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…ec4dbacked Yes | 3c | 555.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 16c | 540$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 25c | 528.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Yes | 19c | 525.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed Yes | 5c | 517.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…5633backed Yes | 39c | 511.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 13c | 501.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 3c | 500.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…e11bbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 26c | 486.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…5247backed Yes | 3c | 476.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 12c | 476.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…8d9bbacked Yes | 21c | 470.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 24c | 462.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…274cbacked Yes | 11c | 455.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…972abacked Yes | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e30…9e6fbacked Yes | 17c | 417.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…5e51backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…d00fbacked Yes | 17c | 399.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 36c | 399.14$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…4ea6backed Yes | 23c | 388.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 41c | 381$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…6bbabacked Yes | 5c | 377.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…c2d9backed Yes | 17c | 370.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…4856backed Yes | 7c | 366.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Yes | 15c | 360.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…7289backed Yes | 15c | 334.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…0bc2backed Yes | 11c | 320$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…97edbacked Yes | 10c | 318.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…3bfbbacked Yes | 8c | 312.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…45cebacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc27…f631backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.