Movies · resolved market
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccdc9302e3e95b1c48e9eb388024b29685df559f1cee589c5ae0bb3d901d0a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 46c | 17,450$8,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,346.94 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 16c | 9,357$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 4c | 9,190$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 8,962$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.84 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 8c | 5,070$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 56c | 4,962$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.06 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777b…08b0backed No | 17c | 4,414$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 29c | 3,515$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 53c | 2,300$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed Yes | 30c | 1,993$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…be81backed No | 2c | 1,864$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b4…f99dbacked No | 3c | 1,857$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…68edbacked Yes | 74c | 1,761$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,631$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 69c | 1,532$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…384fbacked No | 7c | 1,473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…f59abacked No | 13c | 1,441$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 74c | 1,260$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.37 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…39f3backed No | 2c | 1,118$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 10c | 1,063$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 20c | 1,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 72c | 981.41$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…542bbacked Yes | 65c | 979.51$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 30c | 933.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.67 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 18c | 890.25$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…9621backed No | 27c | 815.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…9832backed No | 71c | 768.68$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 29c | 750$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed No | 4c | 733.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked No | 76c | 691.5$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 29c | 637.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.81 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 620.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked No | 75c | 615.47$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 17c | 583.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.66 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…70b2backed No | 74c | 566.15$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…d73bbacked No | 77c | 565$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 39c | 513.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.93 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…d066backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…bc42backed No | 56c | 474.4$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed No | 61c | 468.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…0c09backed No | 73c | 461$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 70c | 440$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 377.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 65c | 374.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…0adbbacked No | 32c | 364.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 71c | 321.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 22c | 300.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…972abacked No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 33c | 298$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 21c | 295$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 67c | 285$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3b…e6ecbacked No | 8c | 240.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…e0f7backed Yes | 71c | 210.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…a907backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…e58bbacked No | 48c | 198.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…0c3bbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 42c | 150.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6369backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Yes | 32c | 141$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed No | 56c | 136.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 57c | 135.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 15c | 120.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…13b6backed No | 23c | 110.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…d929backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…ea89backed No | 75c | 97.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…fe6ebacked Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…d73fbacked No | 73c | 66.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…e334backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…93fbbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…ef21backed No | 73c | 49.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…21b8backed Yes | 28c | 41.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…da97backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…0aacbacked No | 79c | 39.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7522…bcbcbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…9142backed No | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a82…faa3backed No | 70c | 22.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 70c | 21.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377f…9e02backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Yes | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8685…7ad1backed No | 72c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…b79fbacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…e413backed No | 72c | 14.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $45-53m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $61-70m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross less than $45m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.