Movies · resolved market
'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc961c545d273465bb00d172061307952330aa0e937f851a382fbdebd0628df88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9739…159fbacked No | 0c | 10,223$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed No | 5c | 3,652$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked Yes | 78c | 3,048$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…0a71backed No | 27c | 2,177$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed No | 46c | 1,980$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 23c | 1,936$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.62 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 64c | 1,741$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 4c | 1,302$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…a158backed No | 33c | 1,206$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 61c | 1,194$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 77c | 1,167$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 68c | 1,157$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452b…634ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,045$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…6e65backed Yes | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed No | 44c | 897.1$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…dd1cbacked Yes | 72c | 855.84$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +479.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 46c | 730.11$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 28c | 650$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 14c | 630.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 61c | 575.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 78c | 538.73$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 52c | 478.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 70c | 440.39$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed No | 51c | 417.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked No | 3c | 380$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed No | 53c | 377.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 57c | 376.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 34c | 363.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 51c | 358.7$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.26 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed No | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked No | 27c | 341.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 338.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked No | 44c | 296.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 28c | 291.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…b4febacked Yes | 61c | 277.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed Yes | 73c | 275.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed No | 35c | 253.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…54efbacked No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…21f6backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed No | 43c | 234.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed No | 40c | 234.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 45c | 224.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 26c | 220.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 55c | 211.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 49c | 199.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 66c | 196.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 31c | 190.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 55c | 186.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 67c | 162.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d5…a03abacked Yes | 69c | 161.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed No | 49c | 159.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed No | 38c | 153.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed No | 26c | 153.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed No | 39c | 146.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 11c | 134.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…f6e5backed Yes | 75c | 132.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…94d6backed No | 38c | 117.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…66c2backed No | 28c | 108.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…b942backed Yes | 60c | 106.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…21b8backed No | 28c | 105.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…6590backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…7e50backed No | 28c | 97.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked No | 28c | 89.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…29febacked No | 30c | 83.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 59c | 80.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed No | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716f…8929backed No | 28c | 67.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 18c | 63.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…2c90backed Yes | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 33c | 58.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…5b47backed No | 36c | 57.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 55c | 54.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…7844backed Yes | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…3f7dbacked No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…0fb5backed Yes | 73c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8550…90f7backed Yes | 75c | 24.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 43c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 49c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…599fbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…5351backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.