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NFL · resolved market

Browns vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Browns, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Giants28c48,910$13,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,279.612051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Browns72c30,535$21,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,985.196950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Browns73c19,703$14,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,383.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Giants27c11,406$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,281.2716036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd56c…3bbcbacked Browns72c10,112$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,280.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick58cpaid-67.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Giants67c7,962$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.7722638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Giants28c3,622$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.0912827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Browns72c3,556$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86d…e314backed Browns39c2,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Browns72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Giants29c2,069$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.926071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Browns73c1,900$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.1313751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns17c1,311$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3633328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Giants62c778.1$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7814457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0895…8273backed Browns47c766.42$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.771353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Giants28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50419436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Browns49c674.17$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5925643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0545…4e37backed Browns71c651.29$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.353815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Browns72c555$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.64143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Browns72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Browns72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010534.3%36 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56dc…f02bbacked Giants28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Giants27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29216832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Browns71c397$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Giants28c385.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7111949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Browns48c366$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Giants79c360.81$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.45955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc717…88bbbacked Browns74c352$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8d…f710backed Giants28c351.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8189…dad2backed Giants29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204e…4236backed Giants13c320$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.93511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x799b…362dbacked Browns19c280.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Browns73c277$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.216050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Browns72c276.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7921713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Browns73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Browns57c265.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.356944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Giants27c240.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.619747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed Giants67c233.55$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.233627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Browns20c212.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1616439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Browns17c200.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9212842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Giants27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1464623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed Browns56c199.28$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.732842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70e…1eeabacked Browns25c196.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Browns28c195.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6420246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Browns18c179.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1652828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Browns73c150$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Browns74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ce…b599backed Giants29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.936743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdf…97edbacked Browns73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Browns74c135.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b3…e69cbacked Giants29c134.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.481540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d9…eff0backed Giants28c121.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.433043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Browns55c120.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.545955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd6b…b9febacked Giants29c110.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c10…defebacked Giants28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Browns73c102.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0891…508abacked Browns16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ef…a23dbacked Browns72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27f…91d6backed Browns73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee4…3ababacked Giants12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622c…c68fbacked Browns73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Giants28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9911945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Giants27c99.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.998760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4181backed Browns22c96.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.644052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bb6…118dbacked Giants28c90.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d4…5676backed Giants28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af6…d2a5backed Browns73c89.25$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb1…36f3backed Giants29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.213450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8d…32b2backed Giants28c85.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…aabcbacked Browns73c85.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Browns72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01d…0283backed Giants28c82.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…0796backed Giants28c82.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b06…1afcbacked Giants28c82.11$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadc…059abacked Browns73c82.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…ef23backed Browns73c82.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbec…567cbacked Browns73c82.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd445…6e0abacked Browns73c82.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad44…6e01backed Giants28c82.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Browns69c79.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd85…08e1backed Giants28c78.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…e910backed Giants28c78.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d1…0cf5backed Browns73c78.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…ca51backed Browns73c78.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…fb64backed Browns73c78.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Giants28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Giants32c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515137.3%19 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…e4b8backed Giants42c72.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.086848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Giants28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.434918.4%9 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd7…3c0fbacked Giants28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc817…2153backed Browns73c69.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8628…27c2backed Giants29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Giants29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.974744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Browns73c68.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Browns73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56c…3d67backed Giants27c66.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f7…df7bbacked Browns74c66.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6248…51cfbacked Giants27c61.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.442536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Giants28c60.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7113428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Giants28c57.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.142744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.