NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb37e76356ee6779bc6118e6a767af020a46f787745c4382fcaa795853cc5eb2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Jazz, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Bucks | 77c | 10,320$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.84 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 76c | 7,411$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.76 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jazz | 9c | 7,268$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Bucks | 77c | 6,805$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Jazz | 24c | 4,891$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.34 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 78c | 4,534$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.79 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 74c | 4,224$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.8 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Jazz | 26c | 4,108$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…d2f5backed Jazz | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 22c | 3,595$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.37 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 20c | 3,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Jazz | 21c | 3,420$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Jazz | 23c | 3,101$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Jazz | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…3177backed Jazz | 13c | 2,650$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Jazz | 26c | 2,415$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Bucks | 79c | 2,405$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Bucks | 77c | 2,403$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Bucks | 77c | 2,332$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Jazz | 26c | 2,327$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bucks | 78c | 2,250$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 5c | 2,204$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Jazz | 21c | 2,121$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.17 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…b92abacked Jazz | 33c | 2,032$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bucks | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Bucks | 78c | 1,966$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0de0backed Jazz | 16c | 1,510$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Jazz | 21c | 1,483$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Jazz | 22c | 1,291$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Jazz | 7c | 1,218$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…3b1ebacked Jazz | 16c | 1,190$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Jazz | 16c | 1,160$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Jazz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Jazz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Jazz | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Jazz | 21c | 1,000$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Bucks | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Jazz | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz | 15c | 959.81$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks | 73c | 892.98$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Jazz | 22c | 815.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Bucks | 76c | 699.94$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jazz | 23c | 680.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Bucks | 68c | 675$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdd…03fcbacked Bucks | 77c | 672.73$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…f0c2backed Jazz | 25c | 671.89$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Bucks | 77c | 586.15$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.81 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…e482backed Bucks | 78c | 553.01$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Jazz | 14c | 530$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Jazz | 21c | 512$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Jazz | 9c | 496.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 75c | 481.01$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks | 72c | 450.94$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Jazz | 22c | 449.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…8384backed Bucks | 78c | 449$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…7225backed Jazz | 24c | 448.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Jazz | 23c | 429.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 78c | 425$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Jazz | 24c | 414.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Bucks | 75c | 414.96$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Jazz | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Bucks | 77c | 398.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz | 25c | 392.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Jazz | 23c | 392.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…da3cbacked Bucks | 55c | 339.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Jazz | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 69c | 322.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…2e1cbacked Jazz | 26c | 322.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Jazz | 16c | 318.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Bucks | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Bucks | 75c | 267$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…4138backed Bucks | 77c | 259.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…c007backed Jazz | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Jazz | 23c | 249.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Bucks | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Jazz | 25c | 238.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…942bbacked Bucks | 78c | 219.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…1dc5backed Jazz | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…ed78backed Jazz | 19c | 206.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Jazz | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Jazz | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Jazz | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bucks | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Jazz | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Jazz | 22c | 199.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bucks | 75c | 196$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Jazz | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Jazz | 26c | 188.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 75c | 186.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 77c | 184.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…cdedbacked Bucks | 78c | 180.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…53f7backed Bucks | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Bucks | 76c | 179.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…b592backed Jazz | 24c | 178.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc396…1fe3backed Jazz | 24c | 177.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Bucks | 78c | 174.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.