NFL · resolved market
Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7b0917e056c7b571489a490958a9f62c5e6d3f521b59dcba65a5b20e69cca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Cowboys, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cowboys | 49c | 9,052$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.02 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Giants | 50c | 5,177$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Giants | 51c | 4,405$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Giants | 52c | 3,706$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.82 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Giants | 51c | 2,240$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.6 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Giants | 52c | 2,073$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Cowboys | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cowboys | 48c | 1,917$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,791$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.41 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…2c89backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,735$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys | 39c | 1,604$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.1 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Giants | 53c | 1,128$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.17 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…3cc7backed Cowboys | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Cowboys | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Giants | 52c | 995.31$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cowboys | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Giants | 53c | 735.85$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.85 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Cowboys | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Giants | 50c | 441.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Giants | 53c | 418.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Cowboys | 22c | 400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Cowboys | 55c | 361.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5f…2f0dbacked Cowboys | 64c | 311.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Cowboys | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…c9cbbacked Cowboys | 49c | 250.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Cowboys | 50c | 238.66$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Cowboys | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cowboys | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Cowboys | 50c | 204.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Giants | 48c | 201.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cowboys | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Giants | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Cowboys | 45c | 196.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Cowboys | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Cowboys | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Giants | 53c | 133.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Cowboys | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Giants | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Cowboys | 48c | 123.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Giants | 58c | 110.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Giants | 52c | 105.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…03fcbacked Cowboys | 49c | 102.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Cowboys | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…16bdbacked Cowboys | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Cowboys | 50c | 70.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…204dbacked Cowboys | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Cowboys | 49c | 60.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Cowboys | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked Cowboys | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Cowboys | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Giants | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…837cbacked Cowboys | 58c | 48.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cowboys | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…0e64backed Cowboys | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…1f49backed Cowboys | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Cowboys | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Cowboys | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Cowboys | 51c | 27.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…7f6dbacked Cowboys | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d96…6831backed Cowboys | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Cowboys | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?this page
- Will the Cowboys and Giants combine for 45 or more points?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.