NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7290587067f8d1ceb9ceae72efeb6fb6f4c10d93d73f4634f2e74310b3628e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Jaguars | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Texans | 70c | 48,005$33,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,401.5 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Texans | 72c | 10,167$7,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Texans | 71c | 3,849$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.35 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 43c | 3,830$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Jaguars | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 70c | 3,000$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.98 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jaguars | 29c | 2,130$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.67 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,073$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.86 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Jaguars | 30c | 1,841$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 31c | 1,797$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.09 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Texans | 74c | 1,593$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.86 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Texans | 70c | 1,424$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.41 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Jaguars | 30c | 1,302$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Jaguars | 31c | 1,146$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.51 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Texans | 70c | 1,095$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…282cbacked Jaguars | 30c | 1,042$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jaguars | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texans | 67c | 823.97$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.11 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…393ebacked Jaguars | 29c | 637.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Texans | 70c | 630$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…72f8backed Texans | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…f72bbacked Jaguars | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Texans | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…1543backed Texans | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed Jaguars | 30c | 554.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 64c | 534.79$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars | 33c | 529.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…509dbacked Jaguars | 30c | 528.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3c55backed Jaguars | 30c | 509.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Texans | 70c | 500.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Texans | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Texans | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…3625backed Texans | 64c | 495.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Texans | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Jaguars | 31c | 370.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Jaguars | 31c | 352.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Jaguars | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Jaguars | 28c | 334.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Texans | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Texans | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Texans | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Texans | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Texans | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Jaguars | 30c | 277.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…5ca8backed Texans | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…cfd0backed Texans | 70c | 255.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…2529backed Texans | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Texans | 70c | 236.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…4cf3backed Texans | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Jaguars | 27c | 219.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…6a77backed Jaguars | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…46d1backed Texans | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…d9c9backed Jaguars | 29c | 199$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Texans | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Jaguars | 38c | 177.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Texans | 62c | 177.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Texans | 71c | 173.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…7beabacked Jaguars | 30c | 169.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…aefebacked Texans | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Jaguars | 34c | 166.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Texans | 71c | 150.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Jaguars | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Jaguars | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Texans | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Texans | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Texans | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Texans | 72c | 131.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Texans | 47c | 127$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…6390backed Texans | 70c | 123$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Jaguars | 29c | 111.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…8411backed Texans | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Texans | 56c | 106.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Texans | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…c417backed Jaguars | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Texans | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Texans | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Jaguars | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Texans | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Jaguars | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Texans | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked Texans | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Texans | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Jaguars | 29c | 79.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jaguars | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Texans | 71c | 73.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Texans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…828dbacked Texans | 70c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…a786backed Texans | 79c | 69.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d5…efc9backed Texans | 70c | 65.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Texans | 72c | 65.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Texans | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Jaguars | 30c | 50.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Texans | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d8…7807backed Jaguars | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…dfc6backed Texans | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8607…4a0bbacked Jaguars | 41c | 46.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.