Tweets · resolved market
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43e91973027ebf5a067d200e6b6eab24e5d678bd6b42bc2c9ddeb1baec9b39f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 43c | 3,047$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.98 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed No | 41c | 2,476$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.22 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 31c | 1,927$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.82 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 22c | 1,237$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 78c | 1,237$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 20c | 898$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 80c | 857$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 79c | 850.91$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Yes | 75c | 750$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 24c | 689.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 41c | 638.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.39 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 32c | 562$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…4f90backed Yes | 74c | 540.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 34c | 460$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…b913backed Yes | 68c | 441.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 33c | 406.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 74c | 399.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…cf00backed Yes | 31c | 383.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 41c | 362.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 69c | 346.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 322.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…c17dbacked No | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…12afbacked Yes | 64c | 296.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 30c | 233.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3fb5backed Yes | 79c | 209.5$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…6e45backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…649fbacked Yes | 31c | 196.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 185.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…612abacked No | 38c | 169.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 30c | 166.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 40c | 166.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…252cbacked Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 30c | 139.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…eb47backed Yes | 80c | 127.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd5…06efbacked No | 25c | 125.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…4ffdbacked Yes | 77c | 123.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…2d04backed Yes | 66c | 119.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 119.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 77c | 118.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Yes | 33c | 112.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 22c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 60c | 108.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…8ba6backed Yes | 79c | 106.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 101.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 26c | 100.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 139 | 17.3%24 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +2,281%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…9fccbacked No | 18c | 99.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +238%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacc0…3748backed Yes | 74c | 99.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 76c | 98.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 38c | 92.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a2c2backed Yes | 28c | 90.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…1470backed Yes | 78c | 89.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 78.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed No | 66c | 73.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 70.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…71dfbacked No | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked No | 58c | 69.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bcd1backed Yes | 75c | 68.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 20c | 66.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 68c | 64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 74c | 62.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…f322backed Yes | 66c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes | 63c | 57.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 32c | 56.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 51c | 56.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed No | 48c | 56.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…1951backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked No | 64c | 53.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed Yes | 68c | 50.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 56c | 48.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 43.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 70c | 43.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 73c | 41.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…450dbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…0623backed Yes | 78c | 38.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed Yes | 36c | 38.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 56c | 35.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…ab8dbacked No | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…6564backed No | 72c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…359ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 69c | 20.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…bc38backed Yes | 78c | 20.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?this page
- Will Khamenei post 140-159 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Khamenei post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.