AI · resolved market
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbfe428c1cc89bc0cc87f0f95b3ded63f7a517276f99a14512a641c35959d051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75a2…6992backed Yes | 39c | 11,072$4,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 8,215$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.03 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yes | 25c | 5,815$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…0cadbacked Yes | 32c | 5,266$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 4,470$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.27 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 4,212$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.84 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 63c | 3,305$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.38 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 23c | 2,156$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked No | 78c | 2,067$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…569fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,854$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 1,634$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.76 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…821fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,586$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 1,477$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.29 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…fbaabacked Yes | 22c | 1,367$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…e6bbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,271$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…62aebacked Yes | 10c | 1,220$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…bf35backed Yes | 30c | 1,179$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 45c | 998.12$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.57 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 993.61$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.86 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 26c | 958.47$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 874.28$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 837.65$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.77 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 51c | 759.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.92 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…60cabacked Yes | 31c | 739.32$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 55c | 732.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.65 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes | 20c | 681.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…53a4backed Yes | 29c | 679.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 61c | 643.75$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…e5e0backed Yes | 5c | 621.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…5b25backed Yes | 62c | 619.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 73c | 605.86$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 18c | 563.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…79c1backed Yes | 17c | 563.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…2985backed Yes | 55c | 532.08$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…521ebacked Yes | 20c | 525.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…d897backed Yes | 10c | 502.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…3c3fbacked Yes | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 55c | 487.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 30c | 425$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 418.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…42a7backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 392$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b239backed Yes | 21c | 355.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb48…be6dbacked Yes | 20c | 345.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 20c | 307.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 39c | 296$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 295.46$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…a640backed Yes | 19c | 292.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 63c | 282.4$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 266.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…effebacked Yes | 6c | 261.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 254.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…0c23backed Yes | 20c | 244.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 45c | 243.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…25cfbacked Yes | 9c | 233.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 38c | 232.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 19c | 222.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 42c | 217.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…f71dbacked Yes | 40c | 217.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…0124backed Yes | 23c | 214.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 72c | 206.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 21c | 203.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…8cd0backed Yes | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 199.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.86 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 54c | 197.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b2…014fbacked Yes | 10c | 196.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 194.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 53c | 191.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…efffbacked Yes | 43c | 186.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 32c | 184.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…27f6backed Yes | 17c | 183.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 66c | 178$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…0964backed Yes | 11c | 176.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 16c | 168.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…f1febacked Yes | 20c | 168.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed No | 37c | 165$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 24c | 163.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…5df8backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…01e1backed Yes | 28c | 153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 34c | 146.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yes | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…9782backed Yes | 62c | 129.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…f5e5backed Yes | 25c | 127.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 18c | 127.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 76c | 124.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Yes | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 53c | 118.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…d13cbacked Yes | 64c | 110.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 17c | 102.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 41c | 101.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…1963backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed No | 75c | 74.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…dcdebacked Yes | 19c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?this page
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
- Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
- Will gemini-3.5-flash be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.