AI · resolved market

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec29813f9fb084675e59b2f2859e126e9e9fcbdb1143ed35647c9ad3a010450

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a21…9318backed No	25c	8,214$2,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,018.31	194	32%62 W · 132 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	23c	5,970$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.86	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	22c	4,947$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.82	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a2…6992backed No	41c	3,849$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.05	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed Yes	58c	3,808$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,612.31	143	37.8%54 W · 89 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No	19c	2,655$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.19	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	74c	2,397$1,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.87	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	33c	2,241$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.77	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5999…ae94backed Yes	79c	2,139$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.07	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Yes	76c	1,983$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.95	4	75%3 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	75cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x652b…f5c2backed Yes	79c	1,868$1,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.46	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes	80c	1,858$1,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.89	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes	63c	1,572$991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.11	369	45.3%167 W · 202 L	+29.3wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb48…be6dbacked Yes	70c	1,462$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.01	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3b…9240backed Yes	64c	1,190$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-52%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	41c	993.99$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.44	114	25.4%29 W · 85 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes	75c	952.42$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.34	143	39.2%56 W · 87 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	36c	924.9$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.27	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…8a5abacked No	18c	885.34$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	69c	766.46$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.68	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	37c	668.28$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.78	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-37%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	19c	640.81$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.44	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63d8…fd86backed No	16c	610.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	29c	570$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.5	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	19c	510$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.38	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Yes	69c	503.39$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.63	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	72c	486.78$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.59	178	24.2%43 W · 135 L	-12.4wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-56%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	19c	472.43$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.75	407	12.3%50 W · 357 L	-35.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes	67c	425$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.29	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	34c	418.32$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.64	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	8c	401.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	32c	392$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.21	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	36c	370.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.36	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	21c	369.04$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.27	207	31.9%66 W · 141 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9974…2840backed Yes	62c	323.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.89	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x869f…2985backed Yes	38c	262.04$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes	45c	255$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.24	90	41.1%37 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	18c	237$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7365…64dabacked No	19c	223.96$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.62	275	36.4%100 W · 175 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa99…dbbfbacked Yes	41c	222.45$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.69	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+11.0wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+59.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	55c	219.01$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.43	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…9b7fbacked No	11c	218.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.23	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	21c	203.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	16c	203$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	14c	199.69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	134	22.4%30 W · 104 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…309cbacked Yes	58c	191.93$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.74	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	51c	186.03$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.91	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb09…62aebacked No	10c	183$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	48c	181.03$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.08	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9631…a38cbacked Yes	64c	177.55$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.27	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes	59c	176.88$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.99	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	12c	163.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	191	20.9%40 W · 151 L	-20.8wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Yes	49c	149.7$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes	73c	148$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.41	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3466…ea7abacked Yes	69c	144.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.91	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	70cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3860…7877backed Yes	72c	141.47$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.91	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed No	17c	139.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.39	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked Yes	77c	139$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.55	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	14c	136.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No	23c	133$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a6…6865backed No	12c	120.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed No	25c	117.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	27c	116$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.98	729	35.5%259 W · 470 L	-57.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No	28c	115.22$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.14	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe162…3badbacked No	20c	107.58$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes	72c	103$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.87	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…4282backed Yes	74c	100.33$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-13.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked No	23c	92.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8673…4025backed Yes	79c	91.97$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.94	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b18…b947backed Yes	48c	90.42$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+109.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	22c	90$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No	25c	88.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0f…bfa2backed No	14c	85.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes	77c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked No	20c	76.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	48c	74.77$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…60cabacked Yes	71c	74.24$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	75c	69.1$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	288	26.7%77 W · 211 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	69c	66.24$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.34	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	70c	63.01$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.97	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed No	48c	62.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No	27c	61.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	220	19.5%43 W · 177 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53a9…d43ebacked Yes	78c	61.35$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	52c	58.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e2…29debacked Yes	79c	55$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4b2…014fbacked No	19c	52.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Yes	78c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No	34c	47.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	76c	46$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d48…678cbacked Yes	77c	45.7$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	62c	45.22$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	457	38.9%178 W · 279 L	-31.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aed…3b70backed No	56c	43.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06d5…09d5backed Yes	38c	39.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.27	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…85a3backed Yes	76c	35$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	59c	34.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…72ccbacked No	60c	33.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34e…bb55backed Yes	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.01	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+59%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf814…5f09backed Yes	71c	28.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes	75c	26.94$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.86	28	75%21 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?this page
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won
Will gemini-3.5-flash be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event