Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d72c54a82795de9e8ae8ccde764a3d49d4dc55af23c5043b2c049a47c73b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0caf…e7a2backed Yes | 3c | 18,027$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…8b87backed Yes | 30c | 3,306$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 27c | 3,117$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.12 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 33c | 2,958$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.7 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 27c | 2,804$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 33c | 1,732$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,490$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,318$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 67c | 1,206$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.23 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 1,130$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 64c | 1,065$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.42 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…ee03backed Yes | 26c | 1,029$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…a919backed Yes | 6c | 996.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 944.97$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…1248backed Yes | 40c | 879.54$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…b950backed Yes | 35c | 856.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad33…104bbacked Yes | 30c | 846.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 32c | 802.48$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 795.98$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 76c | 750$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…8f8dbacked Yes | 41c | 724.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 17c | 700$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 32c | 672.78$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 2c | 620.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 76c | 615$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 67c | 517$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 33c | 517$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…7f1dbacked No | 77c | 514.23$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 506.77$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 39c | 494.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 72c | 450$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 28c | 437.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 29c | 416$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 19c | 415.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2925…d61dbacked Yes | 27c | 390$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 11c | 386.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Yes | 35c | 375.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…e08dbacked Yes | 25c | 348.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…1cd3backed No | 72c | 329.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 80c | 325.09$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…e80ebacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fa…a86abacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…5c7fbacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…5bafbacked Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d0…4db5backed Yes | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…434bbacked Yes | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd845…682abacked Yes | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 25c | 311.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…6bffbacked Yes | 32c | 311$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 73c | 278.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 70c | 276.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5f6dbacked Yes | 29c | 274$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f2…5da6backed Yes | 26c | 271.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 32c | 246.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 70c | 239.16$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 25c | 238.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…03c7backed Yes | 32c | 227$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…953abacked Yes | 40c | 220.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 219.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…f484backed Yes | 46c | 212.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…1886backed No | 75c | 201.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 183.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 71c | 176.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes | 26c | 175.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…dc4ebacked Yes | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…050ebacked No | 78c | 152$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 21c | 150.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 30cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…d27abacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…2d7dbacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…6d12backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0966…f8dabacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…93cfbacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b54…af9abacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6443…069bbacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…2b81backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf173…ed5abacked No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…36a4backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…33adbacked Yes | 34c | 146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…6a7ebacked No | 68c | 146$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…ce9ebacked No | 68c | 146$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…23fbbacked No | 68c | 146$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…44bcbacked Yes | 7c | 144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…dce7backed Yes | 34c | 143$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…53bfbacked Yes | 18c | 142.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…ec8abacked No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…80a3backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…2388backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…e31ebacked Yes | 39c | 136$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked No | 75c | 135.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 134.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…8dc5backed No | 68c | 134$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…68cdbacked No | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…3a5ebacked No | 68c | 132$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?this page
- Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?Yes won
- Will Jan Schakowsky be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?No won
- Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.