MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde16bf69f4b3511056852ec6c02be8f1390f010f8c9a253157ab8139581faad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Yankees, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Red Sox | 80c | 73,801$58,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,076.08 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yankees | 7c | 24,304$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.29 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yankees | 8c | 8,265$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.14 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 5c | 8,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 5c | 7,979$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 6c | 7,977$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.8 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Yankees | 4c | 7,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 28c | 5,245$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.65 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Yankees | 42c | 5,022$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 13c | 4,338$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Red Sox | 58c | 3,711$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 57c | 3,124$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yankees | 5c | 2,574$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Red Sox | 80c | 2,500$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 58c | 2,251$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.13 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yankees | 43c | 2,095$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 6c | 2,003$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Yankees | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked Yankees | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 58c | 1,735$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.7 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Yankees | 3c | 1,373$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…d3cdbacked Yankees | 7c | 1,363$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Yankees | 6c | 1,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 58c | 1,214$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Yankees | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yankees | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yankees | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yankees | 4c | 893.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…60ddbacked Yankees | 5c | 857$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 814.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.3 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…0ba1backed Yankees | 11c | 809.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 21c | 791.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 58c | 775.37$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yankees | 42c | 694$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.48 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 58c | 688.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yankees | 23c | 666.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Red Sox | 58c | 655$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yankees | 12c | 635.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yankees | 12c | 631.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 26c | 572.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yankees | 12c | 569$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yankees | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 58c | 541.67$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yankees | 13c | 537.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Red Sox | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yankees | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yankees | 10c | 496.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yankees | 41c | 488$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.17 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yankees | 41c | 485$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Yankees | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yankees | 21c | 457.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yankees | 9c | 434.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 9c | 398.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Red Sox | 59c | 393.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yankees | 17c | 377.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yankees | 30c | 347.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 43c | 343$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Yankees | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed Yankees | 9c | 328.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 58c | 299.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Yankees | 7c | 286.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…c152backed Yankees | 4c | 265.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yankees | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yankees | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Red Sox | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…b708backed Yankees | 43c | 234.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 59c | 233.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yankees | 41c | 228.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yankees | 11c | 198.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Yankees | 10c | 184.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Yankees | 43c | 176.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Red Sox | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 60c | 167.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 151.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Yankees | 12c | 147.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yankees | 42c | 144.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…b6e6backed Red Sox | 58c | 140.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Red Sox | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yankees | 10c | 127.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed Yankees | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yankees | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 13c | 118.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 58c | 114.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed Yankees | 9c | 114.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yankees | 42c | 105.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yankees | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Yankees | 43c | 99.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yankees | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Red Sox | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Red Sox | 58c | 89.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 72c | 81.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Red Sox | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Red Sox | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Red Sox won
- Yankees vs. Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.