TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves52c44,522$23,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,376.089053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves64c40,000$25,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers48c38,733$18,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,561.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers36c35,902$13,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,088.21,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers49c21,234$10,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,466.9945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves59c19,123$11,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,838.5551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Timberwolves50c18,049$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,028.664257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Timberwolves51c15,445$7,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,567.8432653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves55c15,288$8,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,810.741,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Clippers44c14,244$6,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,196.1451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Clippers50c13,111$6,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,555.525753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Timberwolves59c11,220$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.3429347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers48c11,107$5,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,301.734,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves50c10,050$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,02559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Clippers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves51c9,707$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.11,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Timberwolves59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0757943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves56c6,126$3,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.4672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Clippers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3508153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers49c4,902$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves52c4,714$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves51c4,286$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Timberwolves51c2,800$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.9920945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves51c2,503$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.391,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Clippers50c2,200$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10633146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Clippers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers49c1,900$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.253,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves51c1,840$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.912,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Clippers58c1,793$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.4414251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Timberwolves58c1,621$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.7821143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Timberwolves48c1,594$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.876238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers43c1,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves50c1,418$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves51c1,292$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11ee…85febacked Clippers55c1,257$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6871233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Clippers48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.759140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers49c1,043$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Clippers50c1,005$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.126149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Clippers48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806657.6%38 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Clippers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers52c954.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Clippers49c895.98$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.68765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Timberwolves60c771.01$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.415154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Timberwolves50c725$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.765745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves49c676.32$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.022,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves55c644.6$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Clippers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Clippers51c599.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6750653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Timberwolves59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2220650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves60c580$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Clippers50c566.81$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves56c565.45$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.933,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Clippers42c519.01$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.528439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae9…0801backed Timberwolves51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Clippers2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Clippers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21535444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Clippers50c499.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves38c484.6$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.151,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers43c462.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers49c455.1$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22347651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers35c449.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers56c436.5$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.181,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers51c430.32$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Clippers45c422.22$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19016745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers48c412.77$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1351146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers50c400$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20152844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Timberwolves50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Timberwolves59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16414652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Clippers51c389.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Clippers53c378.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Timberwolves46c378.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.267334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Clippers49c371$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.794156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Clippers11c363$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9335326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Clippers63c316.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves47c308.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Clippers47c305.58$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Clippers51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15352242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Clippers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Clippers40c299.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves44c287.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.821,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Timberwolves64c283.12$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.124643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-26%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Timberwolves49c275.59$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5517953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves47c252$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves54c243.03$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.711,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Clippers49c237$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Clippers50c235.6$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.810149.5%50 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves54c233.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves50c228.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves49c220.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.417144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c18…e0c2backed Timberwolves50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c7e…faafbacked Timberwolves49c210.16$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.185259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Timberwolves53c205.66$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d2…7d81backed Clippers51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…c653backed Timberwolves50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Clippers45c204.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.