NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a702ab7aa78d73fb2d489e58844fa8af8bb98c91d6ad8c74f871a28bbe2a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 52c | 28,881$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 9,502$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.61 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 5,684$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 50c | 5,541$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.02 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 3,775$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,368$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.43 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,299$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 945.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 705.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 6c | 699.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 611.84$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 3c | 606.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Over | 56c | 550.25$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 434.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 53c | 419.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 51c | 395.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 53c | 268.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 221$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 44c | 221$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 155.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 146.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 52c | 108.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 106.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 50c | 100.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 52c | 67.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed Over | 56c | 59.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Over | 49c | 57.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…8ee7backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 51c | 39.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 71c | 28.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d64cbacked Under | 48c | 27.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…8581backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Under | 52c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Timberwolves vs. ClippersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.