NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8478610f622cb71f43fc31d0b34be46aa83fb703998bb0de929cfa6ee9c0016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 10,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 611.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 452.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 37c | 417.51$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 248.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 203.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 191.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 36c | 159.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 66c | 152.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 62c | 147$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 126.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 34c | 117.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 105.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 101.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Under | 74c | 88.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08aa…0126backed Over | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 16c | 67.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 53.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 48c | 40.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
- Timberwolves vs. ClippersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.