TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45de…cd38backed Timberwolves54c5,100$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,346250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers50c4,645$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves52c3,521$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Timberwolves49c2,943$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.3926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fad…9a02backed Clippers46c2,600$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves59c2,585$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.6936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2561…2662backed Clippers46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves60c2,249$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.6751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers40c2,213$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Clippers48c2,060$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.9792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves45c1,703$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers43c1,508$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers38c1,484$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.041,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers45c1,391$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.16,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves57c1,356$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.821,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Timberwolves53c1,259$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.7517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Clippers47c1,050$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.537755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Timberwolves65c999.52$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8362948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers48c629.32$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0764944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves57c602$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.241,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves59c510.08$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Clippers38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19035444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Clippers8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Clippers47c427.66$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.685,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Timberwolves56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17642348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Timberwolves62c381.04$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Timberwolves55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers50c327.63$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.821,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Timberwolves49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15318543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves54c281.96$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.294,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Timberwolves62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers27c209.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.111,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Clippers41c204.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Timberwolves54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9239051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Timberwolves53c189.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.514463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Clippers39c164$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9621937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Clippers38c160$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Timberwolves53c152.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4917953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves66c151.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.811,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…d8f4backed Clippers71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Clippers42c139.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.451,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers45c137.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.853,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7bfabacked Timberwolves50c119.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.672955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Clippers38c115.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.916735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Clippers43c112.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.927247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d7b…91efbacked Timberwolves78c111.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Timberwolves48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1716725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Timberwolves50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05c…dd91backed Clippers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Timberwolves50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Timberwolves58c99.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7918150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves55c99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves52c98.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2465950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Timberwolves52c96.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.345345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Timberwolves52c90.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.349047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers53c86.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Timberwolves61c81.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7153839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Timberwolves53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1321352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Timberwolves40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves64c73.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee2…e71dbacked Timberwolves55c68.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.951656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers53c66.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.333,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Timberwolves56c59.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4858754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers39c57.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Timberwolves74c57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves61c56.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca1…f08bbacked Clippers35c55.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers43c53.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Clippers44c53.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Clippers48c51.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.658055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Clippers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Timberwolves52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2350351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves77c47.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97e…436dbacked Clippers45c43.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Clippers35c43.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8815662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdef…b15ebacked Timberwolves59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Clippers41c40.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.696141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Timberwolves54c40.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Timberwolves57c40.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3554854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Clippers39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Timberwolves47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Clippers42c39.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clippers26c39.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Clippers38c39.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf1…a57bbacked Clippers53c37.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2239…598ebacked Clippers37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.327042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Timberwolves48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.220144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Timberwolves59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Clippers37c33.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Clippers58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2646940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Timberwolves54c29.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6329247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Clippers41c29.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9825655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Clippers38c28.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7212331.7%39 W · 84 L-17.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Clippers40c27.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.085038%19 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e13…2ac4backed Clippers45c26.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.146731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Timberwolves39c26.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2810623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f83…bf86backed Clippers41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.