NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9462f3755ed71f0ceeff689d90c8a24eb775d6548027f3442715dd013baf3a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,500 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	55c	17,625$9,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,993.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over	47c	14,538$6,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,895.33	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over	43c	9,403$4,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.3	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	53c	6,696$3,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,147.21	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	52c	2,643$1,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.62	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over	48c	1,316$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.44	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	45c	1,132$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.06	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over	41c	975.61$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over	53c	949.96$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.48	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under	57c	904$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.23	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over	52c	900$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	47c	828$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.84	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	56c	699.99$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	41c	687.34$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.36	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	44c	539.41$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.81	260	34.6%90 W · 170 L	-20.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	45c	516.39$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.56	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	47c	428$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.84	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	385.03$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.05	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	41c	301.71$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.58	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over	48c	284.96$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.78	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	40c	250.34$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	53c	237.24$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.77	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	58c	216.28$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.01	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	66c	209.11$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.52	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over	52c	192.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	280	46.8%131 W · 149 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	47c	189.19$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.92	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	57c	185.91$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.94	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1452…3c00backed Over	41c	179.41$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.56	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	56c	142.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.86	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under	69c	125.18$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.69	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	39c	125$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under	54c	122.66$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.26	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	53c	108.91$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	215	38.1%82 W · 133 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8844…b7e5backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under	61c	99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.61	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	97.77$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	51c	94.5$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.27	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	55c	91.27$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.24	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	59c	84.39$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.32	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	48c	79.22$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.53	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	45c	76.61$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over	39c	69$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	98	49%48 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Over	45c	66.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	145	47.6%69 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Over	39c	61.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	45c	55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.79	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Under	59c	54.25$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.24	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-7.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x471a…6bf0backed Over	51c	52.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	45c	48.18$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	54c	46.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over	51c	45.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over	54c	42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over	38c	41.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over	43c	40.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	47c	40.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc62…ba48backed Over	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	46c	38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	47.1%105 W · 118 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec70…5116backed Over	54c	36.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	274	62%170 W · 104 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	63c	35.63$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	180	60.6%109 W · 71 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Under	49c	34.24$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Over	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under	47c	27.17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2f83…bf86backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	51c	24.95$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.23	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Under	57c	19.4$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.34	159	47.8%76 W · 83 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	58c	19.04$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f59…f50ebacked Under	59c	18.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under	71c	17.65$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
John Collins: Points O/U 14.5No won
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 29.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Clippers won
Timberwolves vs. ClippersTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event