Ukraine · resolved market
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de112715ba899266807d259222e60b4a3c799e98d764543f534f6360d2a03b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 2c | 222,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…618dbacked Yes | 59c | 21,692$12,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,834.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 75c | 9,515$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…7847backed No | 1c | 3,783$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 3,547$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…0f4bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,080$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…9acabacked Yes | 28c | 1,970$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,500$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed Yes | 80c | 1,289$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 33c | 1,239$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.82 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…c364backed Yes | 40c | 1,228$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 35c | 1,149$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.67 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…3feabacked No | 4c | 1,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 59c | 1,019$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 62c | 1,013$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 68c | 933.18$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.82 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…eb6dbacked No | 33c | 906.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 39c | 880.57$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…dfccbacked Yes | 45c | 866.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 836.2$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…b59cbacked Yes | 34c | 821.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked Yes | 40c | 821.39$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d52…a576backed No | 36c | 809.3$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 73c | 710.04$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…991bbacked Yes | 36c | 692$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked Yes | 39c | 686.04$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 47c | 546.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…bb41backed Yes | 40c | 524.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 75c | 508.66$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked Yes | 68c | 489.69$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…d535backed Yes | 34c | 483$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 53c | 477.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…21a9backed Yes | 44c | 459.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 24c | 456.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…9589backed Yes | 57c | 454.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 69c | 434.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…a165backed Yes | 43c | 430.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…9945backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…912abacked Yes | 49c | 394.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…1feebacked Yes | 32c | 383.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…4116backed Yes | 56c | 382.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 40c | 345.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 343.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…f745backed Yes | 37c | 303.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…ab0fbacked Yes | 67c | 298.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…7e9abacked Yes | 34c | 283.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 282.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed No | 63c | 262.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 61c | 258.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…5c6ebacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2050…e8a5backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 69c | 252.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 63c | 251.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…6e59backed Yes | 69c | 239.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…3ebcbacked Yes | 62c | 229.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 226.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 198.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…a454backed No | 51c | 197.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…cdf4backed Yes | 36c | 189.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…b4d2backed Yes | 51c | 184.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…39cabacked Yes | 55c | 183.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 179.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked No | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 59c | 168.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…8f9fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…6785backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…a384backed Yes | 25c | 157.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 32c | 155.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 66c | 151.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…8c52backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…61d9backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 59c | 149.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 146.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…9f54backed Yes | 30c | 141$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 35c | 140.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 43c | 132.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…f40bbacked Yes | 58c | 132.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…2f5cbacked No | 61c | 127.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 33c | 126.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…f0a9backed Yes | 41c | 122.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed No | 26c | 112.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…5d89backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…3a1ebacked Yes | 43c | 110.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 106.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…4900backed Yes | 69c | 105.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked Yes | 67c | 100.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.