Ukraine · resolved market
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fceae11694b220397be2427dc3d7f93bbcea1088aa1d8066f4965b2c4ddcff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 312,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…618dbacked No | 63c | 16,980$10,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 47c | 6,276$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 56c | 5,527$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…bdbfbacked Yes | 40c | 3,952$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 64c | 3,547$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…3eb1backed Yes | 39c | 3,335$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…efcfbacked Yes | 40c | 3,065$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7824…26d1backed Yes | 35c | 2,396$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,338$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 66c | 1,882$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.79 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…6af8backed Yes | 41c | 1,876$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 46c | 1,814$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.9 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 44c | 1,534$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.71 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 58c | 1,463$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.18 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…855ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…f0fdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,356$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 40c | 1,190$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 23c | 894$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 51c | 838.2$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.13 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…ea9dbacked Yes | 37c | 808.77$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 38c | 803.03$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed Yes | 35c | 764.97$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…841dbacked Yes | 40c | 730.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…912abacked Yes | 37c | 672.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…6c84backed Yes | 37c | 658.86$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 60c | 605.26$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 33c | 605$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 33c | 510$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…19a1backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 59c | 491.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.67 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…1227backed Yes | 33c | 485.37$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 482.46$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…1feebacked Yes | 67c | 481.46$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…dacbbacked Yes | 42c | 471.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…c3d8backed Yes | 57c | 469.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…a454backed Yes | 43c | 467.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…2807backed No | 32c | 446.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 52c | 446.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 34c | 445.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…e93cbacked Yes | 44c | 433$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 38c | 432.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Yes | 25c | 418.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…70c7backed Yes | 40c | 415.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 55c | 409.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…8061backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7c…e41cbacked Yes | 36c | 343.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 74c | 343.1$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…5161backed Yes | 34c | 339.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 310.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 54c | 310$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…126bbacked Yes | 38c | 303.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…547abacked Yes | 34c | 299.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…df24backed Yes | 34c | 295.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…dfccbacked Yes | 34c | 295.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…3dd1backed Yes | 70c | 284.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 28c | 271.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…9bc5backed Yes | 35c | 270.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…6ea4backed Yes | 39c | 261.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…3e9cbacked Yes | 63c | 254.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a3…12f0backed Yes | 72c | 250.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 51c | 239.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 19c | 234$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 38c | 229.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 44c | 223.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 23c | 217.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…5a21backed Yes | 39c | 215$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 67c | 203.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 203$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 201.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked Yes | 70c | 199.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 46c | 195.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…a037backed No | 68c | 193.83$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d4…cdf4backed Yes | 46c | 178.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked Yes | 39c | 177.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…aa8ebacked Yes | 56c | 177.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…4116backed Yes | 65c | 168.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…a29fbacked Yes | 39c | 168.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Yes | 60c | 167.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…5d89backed Yes | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 29c | 166$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…daacbacked Yes | 64c | 163.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…b4d2backed Yes | 73c | 153.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…755cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 34c | 152.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…06adbacked Yes | 33c | 150.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…2f5cbacked Yes | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…8d05backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…78e4backed Yes | 67c | 145.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…57b8backed Yes | 37c | 145.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Yes | 72c | 138.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…8550backed Yes | 73c | 136.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.