Token Launches · resolved market
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x514fb9b498c91dc7c520080c2c55dccf6752aea70350bf4af49587b7351b32de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 7c | 29,581$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed No | 15c | 15,481$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked No | 2c | 10,985$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.85 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 12c | 7,555$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.87 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed No | 8c | 5,968$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.28 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked No | 18c | 5,763$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed No | 13c | 5,012$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.03 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…b175backed No | 5c | 4,793$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 3,513$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.59 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed No | 6c | 3,421$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 8c | 2,944$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed No | 8c | 2,547$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.15 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed No | 7c | 2,542$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 4c | 2,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…3d10backed No | 5c | 2,217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…938cbacked No | 5c | 2,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…3522backed No | 5c | 2,053$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked No | 18c | 1,865$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 76c | 1,824$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.26 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,823$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed No | 13c | 1,527$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 7c | 1,454$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked No | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…fae8backed No | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed No | 12c | 999.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 9c | 982.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 961.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…f64fbacked No | 5c | 956.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd358…f5ecbacked No | 6c | 907.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…d1c2backed No | 5c | 783.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b3c1backed No | 11c | 767.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…b6b7backed No | 10c | 760.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…d84ebacked No | 5c | 743.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 706.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…c4e3backed No | 15c | 693.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 651.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 7c | 643.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…00d6backed No | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…9683backed No | 12c | 615.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…1dc9backed No | 5c | 611$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…2434backed No | 6c | 610.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 10c | 553.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 19c | 524.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…51d9backed No | 6c | 524.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…abe4backed No | 17c | 508.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed No | 10c | 474.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 9c | 457.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 11c | 451.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…198fbacked No | 13c | 441.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 441.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…2f5abacked No | 14c | 435.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…2978backed No | 16c | 432.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 431.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 13c | 430.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 404.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 6c | 400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…d54fbacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed No | 14c | 399.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 388.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…fc69backed No | 13c | 384.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 13c | 362.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked No | 11c | 330.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 5c | 319.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 8c | 316.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 20c | 313$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…9752backed No | 16c | 305.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed No | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…2277backed No | 5c | 299.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 12c | 288.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa79…d773backed No | 9c | 257.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…014ebacked No | 8c | 256.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 31c | 247.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 20c | 241.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…03abbacked No | 13c | 231.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed No | 19c | 221.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7343…de77backed No | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 12c | 215$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…7c67backed No | 12c | 212.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 10c | 206.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 8c | 205.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…9737backed No | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed No | 7c | 200.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…2b0abacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed No | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed No | 15c | 195.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 13c | 189.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed No | 13c | 186.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 7c | 185.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 14c | 181.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 9c | 180.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…4a52backed No | 10c | 163.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…51f3backed No | 12c | 161.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…0951backed No | 10c | 151.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked No | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked No | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Foresee public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.